Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42e48e6e24b4df4db722887a195ad6aa70d09d8e8c627db317f4b88da10916ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 1,585$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 1,396$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.36 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 78c | 1,138$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.36 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Over | 80c | 1,001$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.77 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 79c | 999.72$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.94 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 730.06$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 414.12$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…21ebbacked Over | 75c | 141$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…34a4backed Over | 80c | 121.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 24c | 112.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 79c | 97.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 22c | 85.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 21c | 71.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 50.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Over | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 73cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 76c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 78c | 16.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.