Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84a95bf560f5ba8c61db875f603070906a38ec43cc0810574beb52f45abd464c

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 9, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,508 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	61c	7,501$4,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,916.72	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	40c	6,490$2,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,596	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Under	54c	2,523$1,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,158.78	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	40c	2,348$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.99	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under	61c	1,634$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$633.68	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	64c	592.18$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.14	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Over	38c	539.99$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.2	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under	49c	494.18$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.18	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over	34c	488.24$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	33c	402.95$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.38	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	66	66.7%44 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	55c	363.73$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac8…afb2backed Over	45c	333.33$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under	65c	315.38$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.38	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	72cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	49c	299.6$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	208	64.9%135 W · 73 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	79c	281.39$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.57	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedad…ed92backed Under	52c	218.44$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.34	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-3.5wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over	33c	203.03$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under	63c	193.81$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.81	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-6.2wins	-0.23per pick	60cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	30c	180.13$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.04	79	31.6%25 W · 54 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over	28c	178.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1741…6f97backed Under	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	66cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Over	31c	151$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.81	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over	53c	150$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.5	198	53%105 W · 93 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	51c	130.37$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.49	255	50.2%128 W · 127 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	32c	125$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Under	69c	115$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.65	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Over	30c	90$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over	49c	86.26$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.55	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	22c	86.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Over	31c	86$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.08	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under	69c	85.41$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.48	210	49%103 W · 107 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over	41c	82.93$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-4.5wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Under	39c	76.92$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+4.3wins	+0.24per pick	48cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x964e…bc79backed Over	34c	73.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	52c	70.92$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.66	375	54.9%206 W · 169 L	+14.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	272	27.9%76 W · 196 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	41c	60.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over	33c	60.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	351	34.8%122 W · 229 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Under	69c	57$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.67	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Over	31c	52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked Over	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc9…f57abacked Over	40c	49.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over	27c	47.35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-8.7wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	45c	44.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	732	58.5%428 W · 304 L	+46.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over	47c	42.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	129	68.2%88 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	54c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeb4…9854backed Under	55c	36.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	191	33%63 W · 128 L	-13.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	57c	29.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Under	69c	29$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	217	47.9%104 W · 113 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Under	70c	27$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.1	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd1…0100backed Under	69c	27$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.37	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	59cpaid	+32%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Under	69c	26$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.06	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Under	69c	26$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.06	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Under	70c	26$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under	52c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	56c	24.73$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.9	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Under	70c	21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	59cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Under	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	68cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	379	58%220 W · 159 L	+24.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Under	69c	18$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.58	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Under	69c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.96	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Under	70c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5this page
Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event