TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b8a…7fd4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick73cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$18.95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$19.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Birmingham City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.95
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.51
Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+41.9%+$13.61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25.7%+$46.51
Will Southampton FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.7%+$40.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.33
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 22 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.95
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+39.3%+$118.02
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+41.9%+$25.16
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+48.4%+$9.68
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+32.6%+$6.52
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+116%+$17.41
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will NEOM SC win on 2025-12-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+30.1%+$18.03
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21.27
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.68
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+50.8%+$9.14
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+25%+$3.75
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+41.6%+$6.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.08
Will PSV win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$54.44
FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
FC Twente '65 vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+334.8%+$133.91
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Madrid vs. BC Dubaibacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+68.8%+$27.52
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$9.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.3%+$43.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+58.5%+$7.61
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37.4%+$5.23
Jacksonville State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.8%+$27.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.2%+$6.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs ChickenBurger (BO3)backed Eternal Fire Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.