Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19a48f66911f4198bf17ebad23f2292336168fedcd2945f340d7f52147c50182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 42c | 13,930$5,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,884.01 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 9,076$5,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.39 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 3,082$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.23 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 58c | 2,120$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 58c | 2,017$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 1,899$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.66 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 40c | 1,126$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 57c | 541.21$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.28 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 58c | 326$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 296.58$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 25c | 248.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Over | 41c | 244.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 78c | 237.48$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 58c | 236.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 43c | 233.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 44c | 228.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 15c | 199.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 30c | 166.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 42c | 119.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 56c | 118.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 38c | 116$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 104$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 40c | 74.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 41c | 72.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Over | 42c | 70.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 58c | 62.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 44c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…ee1cbacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Under | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Under | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5c…7a2dbacked Over | 37c | 29.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed Under | 78c | 29.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…998abacked Under | 60c | 28.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 58c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Under | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…5038backed Under | 71c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.