Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00f4e094b17c7d49c9c766bfcfac94bf366322be95c8f1d692d6541cc31d6b83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 4,925$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.79 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 54c | 3,461$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,409$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.83 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 1,248$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.34 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 39c | 670.16$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.09 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 32c | 627.19$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 538.61$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 460.36$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.82 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 411.72$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.9 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 62c | 320.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 64c | 314.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 299.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 36c | 283.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 64c | 280$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 40c | 228.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.13 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 36c | 177.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 64c | 155.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…a9edbacked Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…867dbacked Over | 43c | 92.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -6.1wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 83.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 62c | 78.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 79c | 77.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 55c | 72.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…91d6backed Over | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…43cfbacked Over | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 59c | 45.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…1659backed Under | 51c | 39.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 46c | 39.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…9900backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 35.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 70c | 34.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 37c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…13bebacked Over | 45c | 29.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…297bbacked Under | 51c | 29.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…bb41backed Under | 54c | 27.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Over | 61c | 27.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 61c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8ccdbacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Under | 52c | 24.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…5038backed Under | 68c | 21.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…a1dbbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.