Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c33e5ee0773da8ad585a1cfee4660a6e3614b75cb99baed8f3b1d0982b4adf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 15c | 11,980$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,180.31 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 11,946$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,539.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 15c | 5,961$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.93 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 2,020$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.41 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 14c | 1,957$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.99 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 54c | 1,868$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 15c | 1,441$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.07 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 15c | 1,092$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 41c | 902.59$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 15c | 884.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.26 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 56c | 708.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 13c | 692.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.9 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 56c | 535.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 15c | 480$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…8191backed Over | 56c | 456.64$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 422.66$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 13c | 407$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.09 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Over | 77c | 396.1$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Under | 15c | 362.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 56c | 357.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 16c | 309.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.15 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 77c | 262.35$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 26c | 240$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 232.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…1659backed Under | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 198.17$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 15c | 188.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…5aabbacked Over | 35c | 143.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 16c | 120.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Under | 16c | 101.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +524.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…9592backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 91.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 15c | 89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 15c | 77.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 17c | 73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 48c | 72.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 69c | 68.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da1…d6bcbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 42c | 37.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 44c | 35.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 61c | 34.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 77c | 24.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…43cfbacked Over | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.