Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Daria Kasatkina vs Anastasia Potapova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaae8302b43558ea13ccbae63a21836a30a5d31c9c8f202732142391afebbdf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Potapovaof Kasatkina, Potapova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Kasatkina | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Potapova | 45c | 9,822$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,397.63 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Kasatkina | 27c | 2,657$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.19 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Potapova | 71c | 2,407$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.96 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Kasatkina | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Potapova | 66c | 1,523$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.19 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x704f…902ebacked Kasatkina | 25c | 1,144$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Kasatkina | 55c | 1,006$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.86 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…c5c9backed Potapova | 45c | 927.47$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.98 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kasatkina | 35c | 858.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Kasatkina | 43c | 600.35$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.91 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Potapova | 69c | 594.63$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Potapova | 45c | 559.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.11 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kasatkina | 25c | 543.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Kasatkina | 7c | 500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Potapova | 45c | 392.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.64 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Kasatkina | 52c | 387.17$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 248 | 52%129 W · 119 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Potapova | 52c | 334$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.48 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Kasatkina | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Kasatkina | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Kasatkina | 10c | 287.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Potapova | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Potapova | 53c | 260.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.91 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Potapova | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Potapova | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kasatkina | 21c | 161.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Potapova | 47c | 154.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Kasatkina | 58c | 145.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Kasatkina | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Kasatkina | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Potapova | 49c | 103.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Potapova | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…f1a3backed Kasatkina | 25c | 98.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Potapova | 42c | 95.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f05…d7c2backed Kasatkina | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Kasatkina | 31c | 75.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Potapova | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Kasatkina | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Kasatkina | 33c | 67.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Kasatkina | 55c | 65.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Potapova | 48c | 63.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Potapova | 80c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Potapova | 66c | 57.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Potapova | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Potapova | 53c | 44.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Potapova | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kasatkina | 44c | 32.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…0a91backed Potapova | 52c | 25.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Kasatkina | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Daria Kasatkina vs Anastasia Potapovathis page
- Kasatkina vs. Potapova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.