TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc76a…c5c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT5527.3%15 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.93
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jongbacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Shymkent 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Mili Poljicakbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.79
Madrid Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$169.99
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.27
Menorca: Alex Martinez vs Raul Brancacciobacked Alex Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Menorca: Matteo Martineau vs Raul Brancacciobacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Bucharest Open: Sebastian Baez vs Titouan Droguetbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.69
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Asuncion: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.93
Asuncion: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Asuncion: Thiago Cigarran vs Jaime Fariabacked Thiago Cigarran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Miami Open: Marcos Giron vs Martin Landalucebacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.44
Murcia: Miguel Damas vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Cap Cana: Mattia Bellucci vs Raphael Collignonbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Cap Cana: Alexander Blockx vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.75
BNP Paribas Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
BNP Paribas Open: Diana Shnaider vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$302
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.