Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Juan Carlos Prado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57d2f0228dce618512322423b59b873b21ab23c5d86c01e626c2e5a2e0660bb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Pablo Varillasof Juan Pablo Varillas, Juan Carlos Prado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,474 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d7…0501backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 109,465$52,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,916.57 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Juan Carlos Prado | 50c | 48,777$24,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,275.61 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Carlos Prado | 51c | 32,419$16,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,413.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 45c | 27,155$12,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,286.84 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Juan Carlos Prado | 39c | 4,003$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.75 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 78c | 2,817$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.07 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Juan Carlos Prado | 38c | 2,146$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.91 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 78c | 1,832$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.98 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.98 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe204…0ca8backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 45c | 1,524$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 12c | 1,355$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Juan Carlos Prado | 1c | 1,344$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 51c | 1,026$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.26 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 55c | 973$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.12 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 11c | 937.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 749.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 74c | 674.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.47 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 55c | 629.63$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.1 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…c3f5backed Juan Carlos Prado | 7c | 628.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Juan Carlos Prado | 37c | 578.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.01 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 512$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.84 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 448.8$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…c5c9backed Juan Carlos Prado | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 45c | 370.51$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Juan Carlos Prado | 26c | 343.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 34c | 340$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Juan Carlos Prado | 37c | 330$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Juan Carlos Prado | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Juan Carlos Prado | 53c | 296.58$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 55c | 272.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Juan Carlos Prado | 45c | 246.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 71c | 233.36$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 49c | 224.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Carlos Prado | 28c | 222.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Juan Carlos Prado | 37c | 220.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 199$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Juan Carlos Prado | 37c | 192.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…c75cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 44c | 177.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Juan Carlos Prado | 50c | 163.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Juan Carlos Prado | 52c | 158.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 151.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…a9cabacked Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 144.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b2b4backed Juan Carlos Prado | 39c | 104.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 55c | 103.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Juan Carlos Prado | 37c | 102.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Juan Carlos Prado | 43c | 99.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Juan Carlos Prado | 30c | 96.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 53c | 94.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 49c | 83.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Carlos Prado | 45c | 80.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Juan Carlos Prado | 26c | 74.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 56c | 71.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 78c | 67.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 53c | 67.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Carlos Prado | 20c | 60.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 55c | 60.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Juan Carlos Prado | 52c | 58.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Juan Carlos Prado | 43c | 55.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Juan Carlos Prado | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Juan Carlos Prado | 45c | 32.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Juan Carlos Prado | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked Juan Carlos Prado | 55c | 27.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb9…eb4ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 44c | 25.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Asuncion: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Juan Carlos Pradothis page
- Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Juan Carlos Prado: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Varillas vs PradoVarillas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.