TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Marcos Giron

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yannick Hanfmannof Yannick Hanfmann, Marcos Giron
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba81…dc35backed Marcos Giron15c24,139$3,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,534.222242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yannick Hanfmann75c13,448$10,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,395.246972.5%50 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yannick Hanfmann73c11,057$8,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.936,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Marcos Giron23c8,579$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.997,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Yannick Hanfmann72c7,044$5,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.0622352.5%117 W · 106 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Marcos Giron25c2,787$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.9213631.6%43 W · 93 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x288c…3641backed Marcos Giron21c2,472$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.179430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3f8…4682backed Marcos Giron23c2,457$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.493318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Marcos Giron10c2,230$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22361924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Marcos Giron16c2,114$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.4738013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Marcos Giron27c2,070$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.582,43350.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L+81.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yannick Hanfmann77c2,048$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.4111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Marcos Giron28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56058232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Yannick Hanfmann65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Marcos Giron30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9813450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ae…c975backed Marcos Giron30c1,927$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.7421537.2%80 W · 135 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Marcos Giron16c1,821$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.21,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Yannick Hanfmann72c1,775$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.0315862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Yannick Hanfmann80c1,735$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.594,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yannick Hanfmann68c1,584$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.7946473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Marcos Giron28c1,546$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9773453%389 W · 345 L+36.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe611…b0b4backed Marcos Giron12c1,393$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.921428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Marcos Giron29c1,362$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.071,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Marcos Giron28c1,329$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9811945.4%54 W · 65 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Marcos Giron19c1,228$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.035633.9%19 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed Yannick Hanfmann67c1,175$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.045650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3947…b1e9backed Yannick Hanfmann71c1,107$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.073974.4%29 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Marcos Giron17c1,101$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.581,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Marcos Giron28c1,075$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9878536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Marcos Giron15c1,073$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3785348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Marcos Giron28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30098841.3%408 W · 580 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Marcos Giron24c1,006$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.442,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Marcos Giron2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16821.2%1 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Marcos Giron14c996.68$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.514531.7%46 W · 99 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Marcos Giron30c952.32$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4341251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Yannick Hanfmann69c949.27$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.2760856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Yannick Hanfmann68c940.02$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.8129952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0295…ed9dbacked Marcos Giron15c913.58$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.971833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Marcos Giron32c912.46$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2921,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…7011backed Yannick Hanfmann63c844.46$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.45850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Marcos Giron23c832.03$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7560641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yannick Hanfmann76c826.36$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.441,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Marcos Giron21c802.45$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.862,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Yannick Hanfmann72c779.55$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.282864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Marcos Giron27c696.05$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.632,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Marcos Giron29c670.18$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3529444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Marcos Giron29c594.36$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2660355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Marcos Giron28c589.08$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.132,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Marcos Giron32c580.86$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.032,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Marcos Giron36c534.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.321,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yannick Hanfmann73c520.86$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.181,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0129…e3c9backed Marcos Giron34c507.91$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.699242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc76a…c5c9backed Marcos Giron12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605527.3%15 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marcos Giron30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Marcos Giron18c498.8$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6644429.7%132 W · 312 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Yannick Hanfmann64c459.41$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.911,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marcos Giron23c452$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.337,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5792…6af1backed Marcos Giron31c449.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Marcos Giron29c437.36$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.722,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yannick Hanfmann71c417.13$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.412,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Marcos Giron4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482e…6f63backed Marcos Giron31c374.47$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yannick Hanfmann72c348.04$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4554345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Yannick Hanfmann70c336.69$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.018655.8%48 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Yannick Hanfmann73c318.02$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.882,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Marcos Giron10c309.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.071,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70f7…e935backed Yannick Hanfmann71c297.59$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55c9…6da5backed Yannick Hanfmann70c288.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Marcos Giron31c287.58$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1532851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…0476backed Yannick Hanfmann70c286.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Marcos Giron29c284.35$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4628038.2%107 W · 173 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yannick Hanfmann70c280.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3621758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5e0…ecc4backed Yannick Hanfmann70c280.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.174772.3%34 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6794…0a8bbacked Marcos Giron26c274.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5213016.9%22 W · 108 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Marcos Giron29c272.76$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7560446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a81…7debbacked Marcos Giron14c266.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2814564.1%93 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Marcos Giron30c264.22$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.381,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3513…0002backed Yannick Hanfmann70c259.53$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Marcos Giron28c254.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.137,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Marcos Giron29c251.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.912,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Marcos Giron28c251$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2895140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Marcos Giron25c243.37$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.583,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Marcos Giron33c241.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.77837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+147.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Marcos Giron26c240.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4817460.3%105 W · 69 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed Yannick Hanfmann70c235.68$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.717647.2%83 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Marcos Giron29c222.21$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4421638%82 W · 134 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84eb…869dbacked Marcos Giron27c217.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.811346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Marcos Giron11c215.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6610742.1%45 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Marcos Giron30c209$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.787251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Yannick Hanfmann69c187.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6584736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Marcos Giron30c187.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2597745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x112e…0d1fbacked Yannick Hanfmann71c186.83$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1834965%227 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Marcos Giron13c182.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6932937.1%122 W · 207 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yannick Hanfmann70c170.56$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1740264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Marcos Giron29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8729955.2%165 W · 134 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Marcos Giron21c159.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4848630.9%150 W · 336 L+2.4wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Marcos Giron31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9344527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Marcos Giron23c149.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0522550.2%113 W · 112 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x877b…fa0bbacked Marcos Giron34c149.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.95042%21 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Marcos Giron35c144.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.459,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.