TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5e0…ecc4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4772.3%34 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Francesca Jones vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.52
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.16
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Borna Gojobacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.69
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Lois Boissonbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72.63
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$81.74
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$94.35
Hamburg European Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$127.69
Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Granollers/Zeballosbacked Bolelli/Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$218.96
Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Andreeva/Shnaider vs Bucsa/Melicharbacked Andreeva/Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$144.13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Harrison/Skupskibacked Bolelli/Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$102.23
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Henri Squire vs Cristian Garinbacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.23
Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$124.9
Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Parma: Camila Osorio vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.56
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84.17
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$44.62
Madrid Open: Martin Damm vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$65.67
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.13
Madrid Open: Laura Samson vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.17
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$218.36
Oeiras 4: Elena Pridankina vs Fiona Ferrobacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$161.23
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Hungary vs. Great Britainbacked Great Britain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
World Championships: Latvia vs. Austriabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
World Championships: Italy vs. Norwaybacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$120.85
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
World Championships: Finland vs. USAbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$128.79
World Championships: Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.91
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$117.33
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+149.2%+$131.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$168.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.