TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Martin Damm vs Jakub Mensik

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jakub Mensikof Martin Damm, Jakub Mensik
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54d0…8e20backed Jakub Mensik75c14,194$10,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.7418258.8%107 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Martin Damm18c11,271$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.48,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jakub Mensik74c8,847$6,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.438,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Martin Damm26c6,023$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.161,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Martin Damm25c5,233$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.2492655.9%518 W · 408 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Martin Damm22c4,544$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.187,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Jakub Mensik75c3,498$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.584560%27 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Martin Damm29c3,343$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.3413427.6%37 W · 97 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Martin Damm1c3,322$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.221,2058%96 W · 1,109 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Martin Damm10c3,073$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.932,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Martin Damm25c3,008$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.74,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Martin Damm26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52058734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Jakub Mensik76c1,934$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.5393168.1%634 W · 297 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Jakub Mensik76c1,816$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.748655.8%48 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Jakub Mensik73c1,617$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.6512147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Jakub Mensik75c1,329$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.233556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde19…3c92backed Jakub Mensik77c1,293$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.127953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Martin Damm21c1,196$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.927131.4%85 W · 186 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Martin Damm25c1,165$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.2839431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked Jakub Mensik74c1,100$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28613658.8%80 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Martin Damm28c1,025$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0422248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Martin Damm25c1,021$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5411,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Jakub Mensik72c999.98$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9926045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Martin Damm26c935.09$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.362,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jakub Mensik74c922.63$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.881,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Jakub Mensik74c885$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.197745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Martin Damm25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015244.1%67 W · 85 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ec…e1e3backed Jakub Mensik73c760.81$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.421855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Martin Damm26c735.08$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1223130.3%70 W · 161 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Martin Damm20c704.51$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.43,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Jakub Mensik73c673.84$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9410641.5%44 W · 62 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Jakub Mensik74c600.02$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0128556.1%160 W · 125 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Martin Damm28c581.73$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.694,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Jakub Mensik72c579.37$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.221,69248.8%826 W · 866 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Martin Damm28c526.24$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3515447.4%73 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7402…8020backed Jakub Mensik73c516.16$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.367526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a65…7238backed Martin Damm26c459.42$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.879056.7%51 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0947…a830backed Martin Damm31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8611024.5%27 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Jakub Mensik72c299.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jakub Mensik76c277.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.721,92055.4%1,064 W · 856 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Jakub Mensik73c269.53$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7725957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Jakub Mensik75c267.92$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9865652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e0…ecc4backed Jakub Mensik75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.674772.3%34 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Martin Damm26c257.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8714325.9%37 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Martin Damm28c239.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9860641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Jakub Mensik75c224.57$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.792,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Jakub Mensik74c210.7$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7834764%222 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda13…0560backed Jakub Mensik75c205.12$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.282580%20 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+60.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Martin Damm26c202.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6728038.2%107 W · 173 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Jakub Mensik75c197$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2546562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Martin Damm25c180.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.191,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Martin Damm24c171.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2384548.3%408 W · 437 L+34.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Martin Damm28c170.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.841346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Jakub Mensik76c155.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3560562.8%380 W · 225 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Jakub Mensik73c148.59$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.127444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd4…56f1backed Jakub Mensik73c142.52$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.582254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Martin Damm10c142.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1910816.7%18 W · 90 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Jakub Mensik73c137.68$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.171,06157.4%609 W · 452 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b54…2f95backed Jakub Mensik73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.392259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Jakub Mensik75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.831,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Martin Damm25c114.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6535248.6%171 W · 181 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Martin Damm26c111.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Jakub Mensik75c102.45$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9795050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Jakub Mensik78c102.28$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1150644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Jakub Mensik74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.952750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Martin Damm25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517840.4%72 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Martin Damm18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185117.6%9 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-71.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Martin Damm25c98.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.661,35438.3%518 W · 836 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Jakub Mensik69c98.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4222359.6%133 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Martin Damm28c97.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2474712.2%91 W · 656 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Martin Damm26c97.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4114753.1%78 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Jakub Mensik72c87.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4470456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed Jakub Mensik75c87.11$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7838866.2%257 W · 131 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Jakub Mensik75c78.8$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.743449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Martin Damm33c76.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2216136%58 W · 103 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Martin Damm25c76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Martin Damm26c72.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.743020%6 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Martin Damm30c70.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2537235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10df…2206backed Martin Damm28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1410825.9%28 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Martin Damm27c67.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3422642%95 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Jakub Mensik74c66.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1131463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3a8…cbeabacked Jakub Mensik75c65.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.398263.4%52 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x001f…abd8backed Jakub Mensik75c65.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Martin Damm24c62.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9422113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Martin Damm31c61.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1772542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Jakub Mensik75c60.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3739154.2%212 W · 179 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Jakub Mensik79c59.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3540548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed Martin Damm27c57.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4423832.4%77 W · 161 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Jakub Mensik73c55.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1515948.4%77 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked Jakub Mensik73c55.55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Martin Damm36c54.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9918330.1%55 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Martin Damm26c54.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1656744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Jakub Mensik74c53.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7837058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8df…789ebacked Martin Damm27c53.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Martin Damm19c52.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2dfc…5c8ebacked Martin Damm28c51.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Martin Damm26c51.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4260055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Martin Damm28c51.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.353948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Jakub Mensik69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.529241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Martin Damm25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.