NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0562264e426ec88e738f8163712569fc7411d484551a3b2f3eacf7aff450d70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Stars, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,412,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,418,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,412,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 831 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Stars | 48c | 290,959$139,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,077.63 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Wild | 52c | 194,364$101,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,689.26 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wild | 52c | 156,952$81,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,642.88 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 71c | 131,117$93,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,155.9 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Wild | 27c | 97,152$25,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,321.09 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Wild | 28c | 63,983$18,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,970.97 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Stars | 45c | 57,106$25,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,703.96 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Stars | 59c | 56,178$32,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,919.36 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Stars | 46c | 55,132$25,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,360.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Stars | 54c | 39,589$21,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,435.23 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stars | 45c | 38,971$17,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,348.01 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wild | 55c | 33,750$18,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,187.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Stars | 55c | 27,757$15,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,351.84 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 45c | 23,376$10,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,524.05 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Wild | 55c | 23,200$12,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,439.94 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Wild | 53c | 22,760$12,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,697.16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Wild | 52c | 22,281$11,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,694.97 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Wild | 52c | 21,451$11,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,190.48 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wild | 54c | 20,770$11,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,603.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Stars | 47c | 20,403$9,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,684.81 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Stars | 73c | 20,269$14,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,883.65 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wild | 40c | 19,999$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,099.54 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…8016backed Wild | 56c | 17,386$9,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,649.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Stars | 51c | 17,364$8,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,879.2 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild | 42c | 16,450$6,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,505.09 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Stars | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Wild | 54c | 14,000$7,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wild | 54c | 13,666$7,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,236.36 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Stars | 68c | 13,253$9,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,004.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Wild | 54c | 13,019$7,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…8f40backed Stars | 0c | 12,747$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 55c | 12,008$6,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.64 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wild | 54c | 10,999$5,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.89 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stars | 51c | 10,619$5,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,438.7 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Stars | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Wild | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 48c | 9,484$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,892.9 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Wild | 47c | 8,774$4,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.1 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Stars | 45c | 8,596$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Stars | 49c | 8,540$4,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,215.19 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Wild | 58c | 8,336$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.19 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wild | 56c | 7,905$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.33 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wild | 53c | 7,702$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.44 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Wild | 56c | 6,084$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.81 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Stars | 51c | 6,051$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.28 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Stars | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Wild | 54c | 5,402$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.02 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 52c | 5,301$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.57 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Wild | 54c | 4,991$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.25 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Wild | 42c | 4,386$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.04 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Wild | 47c | 4,364$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.92 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wild | 42c | 4,203$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.34 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Wild | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.91 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wild | 60c | 3,968$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.33 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Stars | 74c | 3,938$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.82 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wild | 53c | 3,887$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.98 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Wild | 42c | 3,855$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.08 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Wild | 50c | 3,809$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Wild | 53c | 3,649$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.29 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Wild | 54c | 3,582$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.69 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Stars | 73c | 3,500$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wild | 41c | 3,437$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.22 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Stars | 45c | 3,296$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.12 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Stars | 43c | 3,174$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.28 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 46c | 3,121$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.93 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Wild | 55c | 2,734$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Wild | 44c | 2,648$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.61 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Wild | 44c | 2,636$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.81 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 49c | 2,623$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Stars | 66c | 2,579$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.14 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Wild | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.94 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 77c | 2,462$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.89 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Stars | 50c | 2,397$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.77 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Stars | 57c | 2,373$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.13 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Stars | 46c | 2,340$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.79 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Wild | 54c | 2,285$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.11 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Wild | 56c | 2,243$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 40c | 2,221$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.5 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Wild | 47c | 2,167$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.7 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 52c | 2,145$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.99 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Wild | 47c | 2,117$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.51 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Wild | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Wild | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wild | 43c | 1,888$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.19 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Wild | 47c | 1,876$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.43 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Wild | 52c | 1,869$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.76 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Wild | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 36c | 1,824$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.29 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wild | 51c | 1,760$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.54 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Wild | 56c | 1,739$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.97 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Wild | 38c | 1,648$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.79 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Wild | 42c | 1,637$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.86 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Wild | 55c | 1,614$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.99 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wild | 53c | 1,600$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.85 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Wild | 54c | 1,574$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.07 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Wild | 35c | 1,523$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.09 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Stars | 50c | 1,438$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.16 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Wild | 54c | 1,403$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.26 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Stars | 71c | 1,338$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.17 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Wildthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.