TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c7,416$3,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,182.232,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c7,210$3,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,853.7541842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under53c3,621$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.7738551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under46c3,590$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.078345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under50c2,974$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under60c2,564$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.7213437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Over37c1,958$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.622263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,898$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.851,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under45c1,780$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over74c1,570$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.5889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under45c1,557$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.551,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over73c1,171$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.8842254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over44c1,168$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.372,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under63c1,100$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40731148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under60c1,085$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.533,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked Under76c1,005$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.21785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Under41c819.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.83259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44076950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c768.27$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.8783149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under58c742.86$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c701.8$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.2647256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9000…93d9backed Over55c681.1$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c656.09$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.21,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under61c636.63$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.242,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under51c628.04$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.7431828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over59c602.6$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.0111533.9%39 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c531.34$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0228749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Over55c530.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.912258.2%71 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over55c530.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.911245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over50c490.64$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.951,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c458.99$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3450251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c391.21$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6110545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c294$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7638147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under46c290.28$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.757149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under55c238.08$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3156553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89a1…4739backed Over56c223.39$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.617847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Under61c222.66$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.84134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Under48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.952962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Under38c188.84$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under68c186.01$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.151,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa945…110fbacked Over62c184.53$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over54c183$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.824050%20 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Over55c178.19$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over52c149.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7818046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under54c140.94$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.836056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under46c140.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.15358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under47c139$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6720756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Over26c134.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359647.9%46 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over75c130.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under61c128.21$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over77c126.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.668469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3061…916ebacked Over39c123.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.171546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under45c108.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.861,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over23c107.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1628340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over55c101.76$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4569653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce71…54c9backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377842.3%33 W · 45 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under53c79.45$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.482353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c78.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4866552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over76c75.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.687265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under46c65.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6333745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Under46c65.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.171154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over77c64.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.312454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over77c63.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.813171%22 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaca1…a5f0backed Over38c63.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.07214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick24cpaid-72.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Under46c63.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.083948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Over77c60.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.171070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Over54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1710256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over39c53.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7241050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f53…8910backed Over55c53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over26c52.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7419657.1%112 W · 84 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over26c52.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7415051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed9…b344backed Over55c52.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Under46c52.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.42334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed85…c85abacked Over54c52.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.133759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under45c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under46c48.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1318941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Over54c48.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.263751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over52c48.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over59c46.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.444055%22 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over41c44.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4133450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under34c42.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.113839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.849846.9%46 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over59c40.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Over54c40.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010865.7%71 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x108a…517abacked Over65c37.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.485961%36 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Over55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.466460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over48c31.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3465721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.712045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over77c29.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.083655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over58c29.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.966341.3%26 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under44c24.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5729533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Under46c22.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.412245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over55c21.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.776237.1%23 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Over52c20.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.592441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over55c19.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8642558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…3107backed Over76c19.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.79977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3e…f079backed Over57c18.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under79c17.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.731,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.