NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eab90ebde1cd0df3f68ddb605e6f925bf013f3247f16413d7dc84a1bf7835fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Wild, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Wild | 33c | 2,924$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Wild | 17c | 2,535$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.55 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Stars | 67c | 1,850$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Wild | 33c | 1,824$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.79 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Stars | 68c | 1,564$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Wild | 21c | 1,251$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.77 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Stars | 67c | 1,111$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.63 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Stars | 67c | 769.3$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Wild | 28c | 444.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.38 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Stars | 67c | 440.12$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 75c | 412.27$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Stars | 68c | 320.4$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Stars | 78c | 232.88$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 33c | 175.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Stars | 66c | 162.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Stars | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…656ebacked Wild | 34c | 142.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Stars | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Stars | 69c | 113.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…c93abacked Wild | 33c | 111.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Stars | 79c | 106.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Wild | 31c | 86.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Wild | 33c | 82.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Stars | 67c | 74.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 32c | 70.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Stars | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Stars | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Stars | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Stars | 67c | 49.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Wild | 27c | 38.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Wild | 32c | 32.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Stars | 68c | 30.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Stars | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Stars | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 79c | 26.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Stars | 68c | 23.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Stars | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Stars | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Stars | 71c | 19.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed Stars | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Stars vs. WildWild won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.