NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9679abd7d367200a54c839d2963f20f5e74b45bdebc5a568533494ccd9002aaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Under | 56c | 24,358$13,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,717.53 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 58c | 15,386$8,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,462.92 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 14,478$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,080.76 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 11,004$4,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.48 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Over | 21c | 10,955$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.53 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 1,301$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.91 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 47c | 1,231$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.99 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 58c | 1,177$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.4 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 41c | 1,111$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.51 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 21c | 1,017$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Over | 44c | 731.17$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.71 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 566.03$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 64c | 550.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 53c | 449.05$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.29 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 29c | 433.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.17 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 36c | 384.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 11c | 318.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Under | 41c | 233.87$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 40c | 206.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 41c | 195.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 42c | 173.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 165.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 8c | 152.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Under | 59c | 123.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 44c | 115.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 114.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 42c | 102.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 58c | 83.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 40c | 69.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Under | 59c | 68.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…c93abacked Over | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…517abacked Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 55c | 37.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Over | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 59c | 32.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 40c | 28.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 59c | 24.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 62c | 22.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 59c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 63c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. WildWild won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.