NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2065a16f41cd99f471d9e394b88e1a1d4348787b0a34fb4832d8216cfd43f7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sloveniaof Slovenia, Czechia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Slovenia | 25c | 1,321$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.57 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Slovenia | 5c | 1,160$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Slovenia | 17c | 1,023$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.43 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Slovenia | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Slovenia | 6c | 999.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Czechia | 72c | 827.76$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Slovenia | 21c | 445.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.13 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Czechia | 77c | 445.47$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Czechia | 74c | 375.1$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…ecc4backed Czechia | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Czechia | 80c | 372.13$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed Slovenia | 16c | 330.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +110%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Slovenia | 7c | 300$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +151%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Slovenia | 5c | 286.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Slovenia | 17c | 179.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Slovenia | 23c | 160.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Slovenia | 25c | 154.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Czechia | 78c | 150$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Slovenia | 12c | 143.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Slovenia | 38c | 131.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…75dcbacked Slovenia | 8c | 125.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af8…4fb0backed Czechia | 80c | 85.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…9703backed Czechia | 80c | 55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Czechia | 76c | 41.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…fbf8backed Czechia | 72c | 22.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…1aecbacked Czechia | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Czechia | 80c | 19.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Czechia | 66c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…2671backed Czechia | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.