Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Granollers/Zeballos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e8caabb8c2884505edb6427173745f2bbc4bb55d1f36aac34cbb1072963037c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bolelli/Vavassoriof Bolelli/Vavassori, Granollers/Zeballos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…ba42backed Granollers/Zeballos | 53c | 2,035$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 44c | 895.37$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.41 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 34c | 551.01$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.36 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…ecc4backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 52c | 458.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.96 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Granollers/Zeballos | 67c | 183.48$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 50c | 168.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Granollers/Zeballos | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Granollers/Zeballos | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 25c | 150$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…0a8bbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 23c | 147.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 130 | 16.9%22 W · 108 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 51c | 145.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Granollers/Zeballos | 67c | 139.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…f951backed Granollers/Zeballos | 49c | 134.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…ba85backed Granollers/Zeballos | 35c | 113.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Granollers/Zeballos | 49c | 104.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 56c | 83.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Granollers/Zeballos | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 47c | 63.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 56c | 62.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 48c | 56.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 47c | 52.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Granollers/Zeballos | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Bolelli/Vavassori | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Granollers/Zeballos | 37c | 40.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 66c | 35.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 45c | 34.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Granollers/Zeballos | 49c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Granollers/Zeballos | 50c | 23.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Bolelli/Vavassori | 49c | 21.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.