TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f55…2181

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT12839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.15
Kingston 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Andres Martinbacked Gijs Brouwer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.34
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.86
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenzabacked Luca Potenza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.69
Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.05
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Sean Cueninbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+272%+$76.49
Sion: Sandro Kopp vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Cobollibacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.04
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.75
Hagen: Elmer Moeller vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$225.1
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneevabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.46
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.8
Plovdiv 2: Gerard Campana Lee vs Gabriele Pirainobacked Gerard Campana Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$192.33
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Comino vs Dusan Obradovicbacked Lorenzo Comino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$186.8
National Bank Open (Doubles): Melo/Zverev vs Chan/Galarneaubacked Melo/Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.98
Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs Minaurbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.16
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Michael Mmohbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$140
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$192.14
Canadian Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Juncheng Shangbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.22
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debrubacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$37.45
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$85.24
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.23
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.49
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.74
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$117.49
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,275.97
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$115.29
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.07
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$63.5
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.72
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$64.9
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.89
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$384.84
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$1,700.12
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.4
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$153.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,102.4
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,463.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$448.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$37.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.