TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes68c94,566$64,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,015.0597346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No13c17,829$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.5778344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No31c16,845$5,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,221.945135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No31c15,900$4,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,928.995639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No33c11,371$3,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.3412057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.972352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No31c8,309$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.932,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No31c7,583$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes47c4,123$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.811650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No32c3,949$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.551,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No32c3,629$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.1488048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No32c3,629$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.131,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No32c3,513$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.081546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No31c3,348$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.831118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-76.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No33c3,100$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00910249%50 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No31c2,920$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No32c2,497$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80769448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes71c2,479$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.612958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes67c2,206$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.832462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No54c1,878$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.331,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked Yes70c1,750$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No33c1,721$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.281,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes68c1,713$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.4443344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No32c1,613$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.13956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No65c1,527$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.236764.2%43 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes66c1,426$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.262835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes51c1,248$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.662,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No4c1,194$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2633522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No35c889.95$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.383046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No26c840$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.187859%46 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No15c806.64$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6118244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed No63c755.1$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.84812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-83.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed No21c753.18$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.53922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-66.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes65c714.35$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0216446.3%76 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No4c640$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.670%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No33c637.85$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8927545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No32c627.35$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7538144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1868350.6%42 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Yes67c595.76$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.762576%19 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes69c565.56$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.855959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Yes72c555.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.224669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No66c547.92$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.671844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed No39c514.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes67c492.33$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2796947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes68c482$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5927554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes33c469.7$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.71442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No34c457.77$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9456849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed No38c375.51$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.951060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes59c360.18$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.672,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes64c358.22$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.691,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1c…ca9dbacked Yes65c357.98$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes68c354.62$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.511,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed No18c312$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes61c311.94$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.663551.4%18 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10820740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.788121%17 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Yes68c263.43$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.31435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Yes67c252.52$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.726852.9%36 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No37c245.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906536.9%24 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed No43c235.21$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.841233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No18c226.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.214327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes67c223.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.645056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes57c223$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.431842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes68c213.92$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9214352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No47c213.38$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.238446.4%39 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+149.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db6…8679backed Yes68c204.1$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.997100%7 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes62c200.45$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4510948.6%53 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No33c199.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.965549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No7c199.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149431.9%30 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c196.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Yes63c175.11$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No45c170.24$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.991450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4f…32e0backed Yes61c170$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No31c160$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05ab…bf47backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2527437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No16c155.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.917857.7%45 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.577855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No32c148.34$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.471833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes62c142.88$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0436356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes68c138.32$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.262524%6 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes45c132.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.817447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29e…bc77backed Yes64c122.58$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69a…e9f7backed Yes30c109.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.441060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f55…2181backed Yes65c107.78$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfd…e3fcbacked No41c104.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e4…3ababacked Yes68c102.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da9…e82dbacked Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b40…cf5fbacked Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No21c95.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.965750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes29c94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7423950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes55c90.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.89812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Yes57c87.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.462365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No35c86.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3944156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a58…e373backed Yes69c82.77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked No32c82.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.333961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.