Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5445ad2351c44d78f11dcaf70fcdc234d00ef1a0a3770ddef36a01f8de751a68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 7c | 23,027$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.29 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 6,475$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.13 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Yes | 22c | 1,829$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 13c | 1,692$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 19c | 1,532$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.61 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 1,473$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.52 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 13c | 1,100$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 5c | 299.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 23c | 115.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 76c | 103.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 75.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 60.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 72c | 40.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 77c | 28.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.