TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Michael Mmoh

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rei Sakamotoof Rei Sakamoto, Michael Mmoh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rei Sakamoto67c5,650$3,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.858,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Michael Mmoh26c2,418$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.041,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Rei Sakamoto62c2,348$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.863,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Michael Mmoh14c2,087$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4471725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Michael Mmoh28c2,017$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.544,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Michael Mmoh40c1,112$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.191,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Michael Mmoh41c997.96$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.166,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Rei Sakamoto61c879.61$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.922352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Michael Mmoh23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014418.1%26 W · 118 L-0.5wins0.00per pick18cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Rei Sakamoto68c862.67$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.45,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Michael Mmoh28c862.28$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7370254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Michael Mmoh48c828.86$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.851,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Rei Sakamoto64c770.94$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.431,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Michael Mmoh48c756.65$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.192,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b13…2f02backed Michael Mmoh49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3439040%36 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Rei Sakamoto72c651.59$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.451,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4890…03f1backed Michael Mmoh10c602.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.569916.2%16 W · 83 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e54…e773backed Michael Mmoh50c588.23$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.126952.2%36 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Michael Mmoh50c588.23$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.1213337.6%50 W · 83 L-17.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xad5c…17eebacked Michael Mmoh50c588.23$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.122748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rei Sakamoto76c516.16$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.328,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Rei Sakamoto50c501.59$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.513,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rei Sakamoto72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Michael Mmoh28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14031237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Michael Mmoh52c417.24$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.834,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe004…d87cbacked Rei Sakamoto75c414.48$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7415060%90 W · 60 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rei Sakamoto70c402.19$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.422,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Michael Mmoh30c397.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6235851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e6…0ae1backed Rei Sakamoto74c379.46$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6615864.6%102 W · 56 L-0.8wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Rei Sakamoto49c359.94$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1763537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Michael Mmoh20c355.71$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.221,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f55…2181backed Rei Sakamoto58c333.66$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14012839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Rei Sakamoto77c324.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6711372.6%82 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Rei Sakamoto52c290.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.41,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Rei Sakamoto74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2722152%115 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Rei Sakamoto67c262.69$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6932147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Michael Mmoh27c259.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Rei Sakamoto50c235.89$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0626049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Michael Mmoh17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3344018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Michael Mmoh50c198$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9818147.5%86 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…2482backed Michael Mmoh25c190.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.739433%31 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Michael Mmoh49c189$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6111345.1%51 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…2fd1backed Rei Sakamoto57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.45058%29 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rei Sakamoto61c175.65$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.78,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Rei Sakamoto50c175$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.525542%107 W · 148 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Michael Mmoh28c160.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Rei Sakamoto49c160.59$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.927724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Michael Mmoh26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Rei Sakamoto50c124.56$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.284,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Michael Mmoh26c123.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.031,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…44d6backed Rei Sakamoto74c121.39$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.565664.3%36 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Rei Sakamoto46c120.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.032,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Rei Sakamoto66c117.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5276355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f3…b21cbacked Rei Sakamoto74c116.2$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.215468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51bb…a38bbacked Rei Sakamoto80c111.1$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2222567.1%151 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Rei Sakamoto66c109.63$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.531,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Rei Sakamoto57c104$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.721,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Rei Sakamoto78c102.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5630268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Michael Mmoh51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Rei Sakamoto57c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.594447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Rei Sakamoto52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Michael Mmoh47c99.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.991,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Rei Sakamoto60c99.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.325048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Rei Sakamoto52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152552%13 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Michael Mmoh44c91.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.352,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944b…754fbacked Rei Sakamoto79c86.47$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.161181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdff7…d9d4backed Michael Mmoh21c86.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1225020.8%52 W · 198 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Rei Sakamoto71c86.23$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.996,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5251…be02backed Rei Sakamoto79c84.44$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.733745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Michael Mmoh28c81.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9144138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b89…f3a9backed Michael Mmoh54c80.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.34052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Rei Sakamoto52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.922347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Rei Sakamoto52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Rei Sakamoto50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.511144.1%49 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Michael Mmoh22c71.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1643618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Michael Mmoh49c66.82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7469545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Michael Mmoh31c66.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.53,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Rei Sakamoto76c66.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6724858.5%145 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Michael Mmoh49c62.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8247251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Rei Sakamoto75c62.53$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.634,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Rei Sakamoto52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.693060%18 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Rei Sakamoto75c57.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.162,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Rei Sakamoto73c55.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Michael Mmoh27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Rei Sakamoto76c55.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.451,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Michael Mmoh25c51.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138616.3%14 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rei Sakamoto72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rei Sakamoto50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986b…bdc6backed Rei Sakamoto71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.511433.3%38 W · 76 L-25.1wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.9%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Rei Sakamoto76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1230147.5%143 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Michael Mmoh46c49.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.751,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Rei Sakamoto71c49.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.337554.7%41 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94ee…4a94backed Rei Sakamoto77c48.83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.224748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Rei Sakamoto52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.083748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03a9…77e3backed Rei Sakamoto52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Michael Mmoh30c47.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.235039.4%138 W · 212 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Rei Sakamoto50c43.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.843,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x722e…faddbacked Michael Mmoh48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Michael Mmoh49c40.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040861.3%250 W · 158 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Rei Sakamoto49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421240.6%86 W · 126 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.