TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x722e…fadd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.59
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.77
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$130.51
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$110.8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$59.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.53
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.69
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$58.87
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brownsburg: Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.55
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topobacked Carlos Taberner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.41
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
The Memphis Classic: Anastasia Zakharova vs Renata Zarazuabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Lexington: Sara Saito vs Kylie Collinsbacked Sara Saito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
ITF Edwardsville: Vignesh Gogineni vs Karim Bennanibacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
The Memphis Classic: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Liberec: Juan Bautista Torres vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
ITF Koszalin: Tom Zeuch vs Niklas Guttaubacked Tom Zeuch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
ITF Brisbane: Stefani Webb vs Laquisa Khanbacked Stefani Webb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Vancouver: Harriet Dart vs Taylah Prestonbacked Taylah Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
ITF Huamantla: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Elijah Strodebacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Bolzano: Alexander Weis vs Vladyslav Orlovbacked Alexander Weis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.81
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.91
ITF Huamantla: Keshav Chopra vs Joaquin Guillemebacked Keshav Chopra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.28
ITF Xativa: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Ignacio Pariscabacked Ignacio Parisca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlinbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.28
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+54.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$134.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.