TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Vancouver: Harriet Dart vs Taylah Preston

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Taylah Prestonof Harriet Dart, Taylah Preston
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5291…d4b6backed Harriet Dart24c100,211$23,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,788.821729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Taylah Preston77c53,555$41,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,178.019,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Taylah Preston75c19,636$14,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.6611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Taylah Preston75c14,984$11,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,795.953,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Taylah Preston45c5,260$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,89330739.1%120 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Taylah Preston72c3,694$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.8794140.6%382 W · 559 L-31.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Harriet Dart25c3,400$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.9138033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…caf0backed Harriet Dart31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010570.5%74 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Harriet Dart7c3,143$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0422123.1%51 W · 170 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d2…d00fbacked Harriet Dart25c2,987$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.4611741.9%49 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Taylah Preston75c2,216$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.114,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Taylah Preston79c1,865$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.018,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Taylah Preston74c1,475$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.64,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Taylah Preston70c1,296$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.618251.2%42 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Harriet Dart37c1,235$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45731653.2%168 W · 148 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Taylah Preston45c1,056$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.561,05340.9%431 W · 622 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Taylah Preston76c986$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.641,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Harriet Dart7c962.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.355,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41a…aa9fbacked Harriet Dart21c917.67$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.71128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Harriet Dart55c858.09$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.955151%26 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Taylah Preston77c820$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.581,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Taylah Preston64c667.82$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4236740.6%149 W · 218 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Harriet Dart18c522.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.448630.9%150 W · 336 L+2.4wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xac9a…1152backed Taylah Preston79c502.66$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.01966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…6486backed Taylah Preston65c499.35$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.321540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Harriet Dart20c430.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.352,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Harriet Dart43c426.07$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.881,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Taylah Preston72c421.9$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.158,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Taylah Preston51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1687837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Taylah Preston78c382.73$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.973,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd898…a47dbacked Harriet Dart45c312.78$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.754630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Taylah Preston65c305.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6716056.9%91 W · 69 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Taylah Preston69c282$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.341,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Taylah Preston58c276.25$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2528754.7%157 W · 130 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Taylah Preston56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.861,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5465…8b19backed Taylah Preston54c260$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.65246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03aa…0312backed Taylah Preston77c259.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.424465.9%29 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Taylah Preston43c232.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5525139.4%99 W · 152 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Taylah Preston73c229$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8392674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Taylah Preston79c226.9$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6536757.8%212 W · 155 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Harriet Dart45c219$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.57,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Taylah Preston57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.536233.9%21 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Taylah Preston75c203.54$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8629149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed Taylah Preston74c199.74$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.479136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Harriet Dart10c197.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.095,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Taylah Preston72c196.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9572147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Harriet Dart46c190.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.577,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Taylah Preston57c174.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1422366.8%149 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Harriet Dart46c169.67$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.052,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Harriet Dart9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524839.9%99 W · 149 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Harriet Dart20c166.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5132329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Harriet Dart27c139.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.882,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Harriet Dart29c137.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7170829.1%206 W · 502 L+0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7144…16a8backed Taylah Preston65c132.06$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.225642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Taylah Preston75c132.01$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3350268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Harriet Dart22c113$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.071,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Harriet Dart24c107.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.421,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Harriet Dart40c107$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.897852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85af…c5ffbacked Taylah Preston77c106.38$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.183930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Taylah Preston54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Taylah Preston43c98.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.23,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Harriet Dart23c95.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0343144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Harriet Dart19c93.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8530235.1%106 W · 196 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Taylah Preston79c86.56$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7837547.2%177 W · 198 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Taylah Preston53c80.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.871,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Harriet Dart23c78.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.891,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Harriet Dart23c78.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1846640.6%189 W · 277 L-36.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Taylah Preston72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441,00049.8%498 W · 502 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Taylah Preston71c65.75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1533363.1%210 W · 123 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Taylah Preston72c65.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2814459%85 W · 59 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Taylah Preston79c63.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4329752.9%157 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aca…e738backed Taylah Preston78c59.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0813760.6%83 W · 54 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Harriet Dart24c53.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.791,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Taylah Preston77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9521063.8%134 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Harriet Dart23c50.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6435956.8%204 W · 155 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Harriet Dart46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2357449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Harriet Dart55c47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.851,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Taylah Preston73c46.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.521,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Taylah Preston66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.452,63946.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf17c…1955backed Taylah Preston77c45.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.371258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Harriet Dart46c43.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1170537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x166f…632abacked Harriet Dart36c41.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511437.7%43 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b6…0a41backed Taylah Preston49c40.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58552.9%45 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbcd…3fcfbacked Taylah Preston79c40.32$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.328769%60 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Harriet Dart50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Taylah Preston73c39.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.831,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Harriet Dart26c39.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0233550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x110f…a7cdbacked Taylah Preston75c39.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Taylah Preston80c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6310254.9%56 W · 46 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4295…6303backed Taylah Preston54c36.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.79633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…fa96backed Taylah Preston77c34.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8513557.8%78 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Harriet Dart47c34.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1627855.8%155 W · 123 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Taylah Preston69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31,17952.8%623 W · 556 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Taylah Preston58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.695047.7%453 W · 497 L+34.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59fd…2c1dbacked Taylah Preston79c29.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.194353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Taylah Preston72c29.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0272047.9%345 W · 375 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77df…068bbacked Taylah Preston71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Taylah Preston58c27.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.659565.4%389 W · 206 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3a…94aabacked Taylah Preston53c22.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.844959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Taylah Preston69c20.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2944051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.