TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7144…16a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category South American Leagues at 49 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
ITF Brisbane: Moerani Bouzige vs Jake Delaneybacked Jake Delaney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.39
ITF Bali: Keisuke Saitoh vs Sam Ryan Ziegannbacked Sam Ryan Ziegann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$28.6
The Memphis Classic: Darja Vidmanova vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
ITF Brisbane: Matthew Dellavedova vs Omar Jasikabacked Matthew Dellavedova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.33
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.43
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$19.34
ITF Lexington: Sara Saito vs Kylie Collinsbacked Sara Saito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.58
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.05
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteirobacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$11.48
Vancouver: Taylah Preston vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicakbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.57
Targu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
ITF Hechingen: Tena Lukas vs Eva Bennemannbacked Tena Lukas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.29
San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.94
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galanbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$53.07
Samsun: Koki Matsuda vs Gabriel Debrubacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$31.41
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$37.74
Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Sumit Nagalbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
ITF Gentofte: Karl Friberg vs Petr Nesterovbacked Petr Nesterov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$4.89
Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.39
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.46
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$12.56
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$66.57
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.73
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$16.81
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.45
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$7.47
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.89
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$10.77
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.15
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$18.39
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$8.25
Counter-Strike: regain vs Chicken Coop Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Chicken Coop Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.43
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.79
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$18.71
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)backed WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$36.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.