TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,605 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under51c148,401$75,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,371.991,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c73,333$33,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,598.6210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c22,042$11,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,363.6511,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over53c12,783$6,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,007.8677647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over53c8,147$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.162,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c7,241$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,834.474,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over53c6,080$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.63,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over47c5,723$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.852,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over53c4,551$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.831,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under50c3,256$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.728,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c2,614$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.058,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over53c1,790$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.31,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c1,560$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.96,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30553.6%2 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30697.2%5 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+122.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30523.8%2 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30577%4 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+83%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30420%0 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30504%2 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c1,276$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.3612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47016753.9%90 W · 77 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over52c752.76$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.321,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83b…2d16backed Under29c745.1$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.081656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c705.05$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.989,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over38c692$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.044,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0420350.2%102 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2351,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2355,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over53c471$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3718741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under48c449.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21644245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under51c388.67$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.423,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over39c364.93$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.22,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Over50c275.69$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6112143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12482636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under48c188$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.248,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1937256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.951,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under46c180.19$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8945445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbac…38d0backed Over53c162.04$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.162766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under39c160.32$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.845,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under45c155.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.61,81349.1%891 W · 922 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae1…5f2abacked Under49c149.69$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over61c143.83$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4255645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under54c130.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.532,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Over51c130.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.852245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ec…f645backed Over53c128$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.161717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-62.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Over54c127.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.516152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over53c127$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.692,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under46c116.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4120845.2%94 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over53c114$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.582,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under72c106.43$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.631,01350.3%510 W · 503 L+51.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016744.9%75 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over39c99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.391,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over31c93.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1547056.6%266 W · 204 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked Under53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.72744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under52c88.49$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.611,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over38c85.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.861,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over47c79.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0428948.1%139 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over53c77.3$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.332,94447.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L+4.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c8…a722backed Under54c70.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over38c69.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.911,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Under52c68.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5540753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under47c68.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3222248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under36c65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.454651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over33c63.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7173355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over51c60.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.540446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under64c58.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4842451.9%220 W · 204 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under69c57.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.883,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over55c55.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.881,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over31c54.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4552750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x881b…a95fbacked Under48c52.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.291353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Under43c49.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3255448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under50c41.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5716846.4%78 W · 90 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under48c39.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0497944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Under47c37.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.767248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Over38c34.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4555259.6%329 W · 223 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Over53c31.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510252%53 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Over53c31.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.849755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbf…baf3backed Under52c31.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.391526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-52.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.178754.6%430 W · 357 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.847346.5%220 W · 253 L+25.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7144…16a8backed Over52c26.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.561747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c24.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.374,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under53c24.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.962,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over53c18.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.932,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.