MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47ee309ccc22a23c5e65fa7f035a2932d476c28e063f1484b596eed0a395d0fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 52c | 3,243$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.12 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 3,167$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.2 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 2,893$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.29 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 50c | 2,786$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 58c | 2,490$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 52c | 1,655$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.88 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 1,457$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.4 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 1,351$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.46 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Athletics | 52c | 1,130$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.51 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 62c | 1,094$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.78 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Athletics | 53c | 555$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.15 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Athletics | 52c | 522.57$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 50c | 424.91$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Athletics | 54c | 298$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Athletics | 56c | 276.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 265.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 233.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 57c | 203.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 195.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.62 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Athletics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 53c | 178$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Athletics | 16c | 172$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 138.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Athletics | 59c | 122.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 119.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Athletics | 54c | 103.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Athletics | 52c | 99.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 59c | 94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 81.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Athletics | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Athletics | 56c | 58.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 59c | 56.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Athletics | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Athletics | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 44.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Athletics | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Athletics | 51c | 40.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Athletics | 30c | 40.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Athletics | 49c | 35.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Athletics | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Athletics | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Athletics | 53c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…1209backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Athletics | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 55c | 19.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.