TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,178 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over33c4,000$1,320 inLost-$1,319.983033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c3,789$2,477 inWon+$1,312.022,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over31c319.91$98 inLost-$98.0137046.5%172 W · 198 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under62c300.2$187 inWon+$113.682,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under70c294.17$207 inWon+$87.0131856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Over38c220.34$84 inLost-$83.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over66c195.45$129 inLost-$12917447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over19c171$32 inLost-$31.7678344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c128.61$87 inWon+$41.543,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c109.9$47 inWon+$62.462,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under37c86.03$32 inWon+$53.9850154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over60c84$50 inLost-$50.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over25c47.08$12 inLost-$128316.9%14 W · 69 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cd9…cbffbacked Over29c40$12 inLost-$11.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+52.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d12…ccc3backed Under64c38.79$25 inWon+$13.791457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under46c38.34$18 inWon+$20.775952.5%31 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7144…16a8backed Under72c37.18$27 inWon+$10.53540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Over43c35.12$15 inLost-$151258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Under45c30.16$14 inWon+$16.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over61c22.43$14 inLost-$13.683161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.