Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Vaduz (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8324a1315e076940ea640bc6b51cb81339d777a513678c9221b7f38995b8eebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Vaduzof FC Vaduz, Atlétic Club d'Escaldes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed FC Vaduz | 35c | 2,150$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.02 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 64c | 859.02$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.77 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 49c | 832.86$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.34 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 63c | 695.85$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.39 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Vaduz | 51c | 657.17$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.78 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 44c | 376.84$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed FC Vaduz | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FC Vaduz | 36c | 277.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FC Vaduz | 35c | 266.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.84 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed FC Vaduz | 36c | 232.63$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 65c | 193.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked FC Vaduz | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FC Vaduz | 36c | 141.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed FC Vaduz | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FC Vaduz | 49c | 105.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FC Vaduz | 35c | 104.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked FC Vaduz | 35c | 102.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 64c | 69.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FC Vaduz | 51c | 67.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 44c | 62.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed FC Vaduz | 52c | 59.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 62c | 48.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 28c | 48.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e3…931abacked FC Vaduz | 59c | 47.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked FC Vaduz | 36c | 42.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 65c | 40.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 65c | 36.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FC Vaduz | 49c | 33.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked FC Vaduz | 39c | 33.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 64c | 27.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FC Vaduz | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 64c | 19.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 62c | 17.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 65c | 17.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes | 65c | 16.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Vaduz (-1.5)this page
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Team to AdvanceFC Vaduz won
- Spread: FC Vaduz (-2.5)Atlétic Club d'Escaldes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.