Europa Conference League · resolved market
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e8cb6810fa6fcf77e1ca6fb37a035f064cff97590d60bf1af89dc1d42bce759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 5,288$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.57 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 64c | 4,120$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 2,790$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.52 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,591$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.21 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 55c | 2,286$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 79c | 2,256$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.86 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 27c | 2,212$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.64 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 55c | 2,155$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 78c | 1,924$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.35 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 1,822$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.45 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 21c | 1,022$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.55 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 19c | 962.17$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over | 56c | 906.67$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.7 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Under | 74c | 805.41$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 739.42$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.25 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 44c | 731.53$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.66 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 713.47$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.12 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 70c | 334.2$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 308.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.53 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 287.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 48c | 272.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 64c | 253.48$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 61c | 249.17$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 64c | 218.83$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 214.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 210.45$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0363…d67abacked Over | 57c | 204.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Over | 50c | 200.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 70c | 186.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 185.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 64c | 178.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…6849backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 62c | 174.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 61c | 154.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 66c | 150.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 76c | 145$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 9c | 144.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 44c | 143.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 43c | 128$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 45c | 120.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 115.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 99.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 44c | 93.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 91.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 44c | 67.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 47c | 65.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 57c | 59.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 55c | 51.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 70c | 49.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…ca8fbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 58c | 37.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 67c | 35.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 45c | 30.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Over | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Team to AdvanceFC Vaduz won
- Spread: FC Vaduz (-1.5)FC Vaduz won
- Spread: FC Vaduz (-2.5)Atlétic Club d'Escaldes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.