Europa Conference League · resolved market
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9529e850536276dcfb7aaf4ddbd3c2fc137bef3adc46b563ac955d423678c7fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 18c | 5,427$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.2 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 3,211$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.46 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 3,205$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.09 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.94 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 20c | 1,405$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.96 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 1,331$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.15 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 49c | 815.51$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.11 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 76c | 653.72$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 77c | 580.34$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 68c | 338.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Under | 80c | 325$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 68c | 288.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 70c | 271.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 22c | 184.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 73c | 150.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 68c | 147.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 72c | 145.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 47c | 108.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 84.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 74c | 75.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 32c | 52.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 70c | 51.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 77c | 44.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 34c | 42.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 66c | 42.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 51c | 30.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc90a…1834backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 60c | 26.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 68c | 21.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 66c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Under | 64c | 17.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 16.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5this page
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Team to AdvanceFC Vaduz won
- Spread: FC Vaduz (-1.5)FC Vaduz won
- Spread: FC Vaduz (-2.5)Atlétic Club d'Escaldes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.