Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lexington: Sara Saito vs Kylie Collins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe41287aa86a9c40c46ff195ccc4d90461777ab667f55ad5259b67db1cf1a1322
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kylie Collinsof Sara Saito, Kylie Collins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kylie Collins | 65c | 23,101$15,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,061.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Sara Saito | 44c | 13,000$5,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,713.04 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sara Saito | 58c | 9,800$5,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,650.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sara Saito | 15c | 3,993$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.46 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kylie Collins | 55c | 3,306$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sara Saito | 60c | 2,348$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.04 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Sara Saito | 6c | 2,346$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Kylie Collins | 51c | 2,038$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.73 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Kylie Collins | 34c | 1,335$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.72 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Kylie Collins | 39c | 950$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.5 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c94…b843backed Sara Saito | 42c | 692.82$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kylie Collins | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.24 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Kylie Collins | 74c | 582.41$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sara Saito | 17c | 482.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Kylie Collins | 37c | 385$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Kylie Collins | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sara Saito | 63c | 375$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Kylie Collins | 45c | 369.35$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Sara Saito | 62c | 337.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.2 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Kylie Collins | 56c | 317.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kylie Collins | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Sara Saito | 58c | 274.69$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kylie Collins | 56c | 262.79$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Kylie Collins | 43c | 258.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Sara Saito | 30c | 243.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Kylie Collins | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Kylie Collins | 58c | 151.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Sara Saito | 32c | 149.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Sara Saito | 10c | 122.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Kylie Collins | 63c | 115.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Kylie Collins | 74c | 114.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Kylie Collins | 52c | 109.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sara Saito | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed Sara Saito | 50c | 97.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Kylie Collins | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kylie Collins | 39c | 96.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Kylie Collins | 42c | 92.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Sara Saito | 52c | 90.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Sara Saito | 61c | 90.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Sara Saito | 60c | 80.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Kylie Collins | 40c | 79.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kylie Collins | 39c | 76.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kylie Collins | 45c | 67.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kylie Collins | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sara Saito | 50c | 54.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Kylie Collins | 78c | 51.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Kylie Collins | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kylie Collins | 34c | 49.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kylie Collins | 56c | 45.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Kylie Collins | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Kylie Collins | 45c | 41.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Sara Saito | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Kylie Collins | 55c | 38.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Kylie Collins | 46c | 38.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Sara Saito | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722e…faddbacked Sara Saito | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Kylie Collins | 44c | 34.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Kylie Collins | 66c | 30.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Kylie Collins | 48c | 29.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kylie Collins | 50c | 27.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Kylie Collins | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…c2eabacked Kylie Collins | 43c | 24.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Sara Saito | 65c | 19.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…3b16backed Sara Saito | 57c | 19.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Sara Saito | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.