TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b56…a082

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
509
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Mls, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 26, 2026, EDT44363.4%281 W · 162 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 443 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Heather Watson vs Angela Fita Boludabacked Angela Fita Boluda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
US Open, Qualification ATP: Kei Nishikori vs Michael Antoniusbacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Clement Chidekhbacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.42
US Open, Qualification WTA: Yue Yuan vs Julia Avdeevabacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Mikrut vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.57
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ignacio Busebacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Billy Harrisbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.68
US Open, Qualification ATP: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
US Open, Qualification ATP: David Jorda Sanchis vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Winston-Salem Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Luciano Darderibacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
US Open, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Mia Risticbacked Francisca Jorge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Barueri (Brazil), hard: Giulia Gomes Ferreira vs Sofia Da Cruz Mendoncabacked Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.04
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.57
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstinebacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Roehampton 2: Ivan Ivanov vs George Loffhagenbacked Ivan Ivanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.04
Philadelphia: Julia Grabher vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
US Open, Qualification WTA: Whitney Osuigwe vs Mona Barthelbacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.84
Kingston 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
ITF W50 Oldenzaal Women: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Jule Niemeierbacked Jule Niemeier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Showing 25 of 443 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-45.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hartlepool United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+200%+$80
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$37.92
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.16
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$13.2
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.36
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dana White's Contender Series: Mario Piazzon vs. Guilherme Uriel (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Guilherme Uriel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.6
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$23.31
Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Namo Fazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Douglas Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Logan Paxton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Mahamed Aly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Eric McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Lucas Fernando · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.93
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Juliana Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.25
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.79
UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Michael Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.12
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Jovan Leka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.62
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Fatima Kline · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Zachary Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.89
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.