MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed9367a961a88218119d955ffbfe2680438862fddb6f86b0fefed831b52b0387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $509,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 120,000$64,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,799.78 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 98,935$45,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,424.89 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 32,624$17,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,240.58 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 30,156$15,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,681.28 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 18,647$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 18,092$8,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,089.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 16,030$7,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,546.72 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 15,244$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,926.88 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 13,883$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,974.67 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f48…93c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 13,623$6,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,220.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 12,284$7,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,333.76 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 12,226$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 11,700$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 10,869$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.26 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.99 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…5048backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 6,481$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 6,390$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 6,117$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513.02 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 6,038$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,527.08 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 5,500$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 4,950$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 4,726$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 4,679$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.44 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 4,230$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.16 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 3,889$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.51 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 3,656$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,550$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.5 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,436$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 3,341$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.38 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 3,214$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.98 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 3,209$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.93 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.94 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 2,557$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,143$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 2,067$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.36 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,036$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,017$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.17 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.94 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 1,792$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.69 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,636$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.02 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.94 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 1,377$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.54 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 1,375$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 1,356$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 1,341$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.31 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,313$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.77 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 1,291$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.85 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 1,251$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.16 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,222$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.62 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,167$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.07 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,152$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 1,088$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,086$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 1,015$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.9 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 996.56$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.19 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 952.83$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.17 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 935.48$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.09 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 932.56$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.81 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 920.02$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.74 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 920$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…53f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 902.56$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 795$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.33 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…86eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 8c | 785.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.67 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…fe63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 750$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 720.47$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 701.98$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 672.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.88 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 667.67$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.54 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 650.09$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 616.1$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.05 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 606.38$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.45 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…0ef2backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 578.38$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 561.51$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.23 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 524.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8400backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 500$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 484.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.44 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 480$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 478.05$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.23 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 468$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.04 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 458.97$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 413.76$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.