MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f61dd9847f71c5d0a134825c5894d073cede57bda407c8a938cf1f4ecca1965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 45c | 222,222$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.89 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 103,515$56,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,581.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 63,393$35,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,220.41 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 44c | 62,982$27,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,524.1 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 57,098$31,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,741.32 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 56c | 19,000$10,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,270 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 55c | 15,055$8,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,773.69 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 55c | 10,944$6,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.81 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 51c | 3,891$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.84 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 51c | 3,133$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.17 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 52c | 2,651$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.7 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 57c | 2,542$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.1 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 2,275$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.6 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 2,237$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.13 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 2,216$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.29 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 2,138$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 1,850$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Over | 47c | 1,741$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.9 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 1,711$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.11 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Over | 57c | 1,665$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.33 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 55c | 1,423$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.45 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 1c | 1,281$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 55c | 1,109$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.97 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 56c | 1,045$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.39 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 54c | 1,028$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 55c | 1,004$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.54 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 55c | 955$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 55c | 890$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 49c | 715$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 651.9$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.33 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 622.07$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.94 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 56c | 519.26$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 55c | 473$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.55 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 56c | 455.56$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.11 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…3ca2backed Over | 55c | 455.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 45c | 434.28$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 362.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.59 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Over | 55c | 324.36$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.96 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 57c | 303$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.29 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 55c | 297$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 43c | 228.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…4512backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…92e9backed Under | 57c | 205.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Under | 58c | 195.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 55c | 176$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 46c | 175.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 58c | 145$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 143.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…d857backed Under | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Under | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 49c | 96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 93.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 81.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Over | 55c | 73.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 55c | 55.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 47c | 52.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 48c | 52.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 46c | 50.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Under | 46c | 46.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Over | 56c | 44.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 65c | 44.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…04c8backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…5ceabacked Over | 56c | 36.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 79c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 57c | 35.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 33.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Under | 57c | 30.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.