Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7116816f1f66fa9b84d8ecdb5e24588348559252cbcdfb3322deb893300d3ff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 12c | 9,223$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.7 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 6c | 4,454$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 12c | 4,106$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.45 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 12c | 2,584$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.87 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 15c | 1,445$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.06 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 11c | 450$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 12c | 350.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 10c | 299.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 6c | 263.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 6c | 243.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 6c | 233.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…4b73backed No | 10c | 210.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 22c | 196$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 19c | 174.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 13c | 141.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 18c | 123.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 9c | 113.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 77c | 112.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 12c | 105.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 101.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 16c | 99.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 11c | 97.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 10c | 97.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 20c | 81.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 17c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…419ebacked Yes | 74c | 45.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yes | 78c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Yes | 79c | 18.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…4e87backed Yes | 76c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-08-06?No won
- Will SC Braga vs. FK Dynama-Minsk end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.