Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x300f5eb9c837b087f41a8147ed8bde747cf2d847e5298ab941f8028e95fadecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 27c | 3,868$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.36 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 997$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 957.43$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.29 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 667$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 448.08$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 404.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 283.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 220$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 166.13$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 132.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 123.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…a264backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 95.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 21c | 91.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa593…924dbacked Yes | 27c | 79.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 28c | 77.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 75.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 80c | 69.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…ac6fbacked Yes | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…e4a7backed Yes | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbd…267abacked Yes | 28c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…84a4backed Yes | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…80d4backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 59.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 57.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 78c | 56.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 28c | 52.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…4c72backed Yes | 27c | 46.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 72c | 42.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 27c | 40.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 27c | 39.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b9…ac3ebacked No | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa537…ec59backed No | 73c | 37.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…cde5backed No | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…fa7abacked No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…452ebacked No | 74c | 33.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9526…0093backed No | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…ec67backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4853…2654backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb2…9572backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 72c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
- Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.