Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65e5d8f8f5a479fa79e65c820ea6245b7c806575ba16b2d1956093ef3bac7289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 3,163$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Yes | 35c | 2,050$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.3 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 963.08$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 37c | 515.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 31c | 486.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.49 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 294.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 57c | 191.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 60c | 151$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 43c | 133.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 109.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 21c | 100.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 41c | 99.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 49c | 94.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 30c | 86.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 43c | 76.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…9d81backed Yes | 26c | 72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 36cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 60c | 64.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yes | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 41c | 37.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Yes | 45c | 37.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 59c | 33.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…8314backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 59c | 31.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 60c | 31.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Yes | 57c | 30.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 51c | 27.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 40c | 25.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 25.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 60c | 25.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 57c | 20.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 60c | 19.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 60c | 19.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 59c | 18.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked No | 66c | 17.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Southampton FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.