Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ca7e68ce2cc82923ef60e2c77f12de78365ee3f5fd672304612763aa8cb693b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 29c | 6,605$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.15 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 16c | 2,710$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.42 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Yes | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 20c | 908.53$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.65 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 734.5$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 22c | 639.71$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 78c | 429.8$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 22c | 389.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 78c | 355.94$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 77c | 325$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 72c | 322.92$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 14c | 313.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 15c | 309.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 71c | 263$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 71c | 263$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 6c | 212.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 73c | 133.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Yes | 76c | 114.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 23c | 106$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 25c | 100.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 26c | 98.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 22c | 97.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Yes | 78c | 89.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 77c | 80.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…b473backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed Yes | 79c | 62.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 30c | 59.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…fcd5backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 71c | 39.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…a105backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 79c | 31.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 59c | 29.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +13.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yes | 73c | 26.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Yes | 78c | 26.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 73c | 24.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 23.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yes | 73c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 70c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 75c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Northampton Town FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.