Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Yue Yuan vs Julia Avdeeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f27899fe4aec8a7aaf47e8e94f05860918d5da8e24276a97c87168d5c8fbfa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yue Yuanof Yue Yuan, Julia Avdeeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Julia Avdeeva | 5c | 5,016$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.49 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Julia Avdeeva | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Julia Avdeeva | 23c | 2,015$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.2 | 258 | 43.8%113 W · 145 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yue Yuan | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yue Yuan | 71c | 1,937$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.82 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Yue Yuan | 77c | 1,649$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.3 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Julia Avdeeva | 11c | 946.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.11 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…f3d7backed Julia Avdeeva | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Julia Avdeeva | 21c | 689.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Julia Avdeeva | 32c | 528.44$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Julia Avdeeva | 11c | 502.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Julia Avdeeva | 4c | 501.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Julia Avdeeva | 12c | 467.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Julia Avdeeva | 25c | 350.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Julia Avdeeva | 16c | 232.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yue Yuan | 79c | 231$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…1cb3backed Julia Avdeeva | 11c | 176.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Julia Avdeeva | 16c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Yue Yuan | 69c | 147$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Julia Avdeeva | 31c | 132$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Yue Yuan | 76c | 129.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 850 | 57.5%489 W · 361 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yue Yuan | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Julia Avdeeva | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Julia Avdeeva | 31c | 84.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Yue Yuan | 68c | 82.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 402 | 54.5%219 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Julia Avdeeva | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yue Yuan | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Julia Avdeeva | 32c | 61.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 457 | 52.7%241 W · 216 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Julia Avdeeva | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 389 | 51.2%199 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Yue Yuan | 70c | 54.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Julia Avdeeva | 32c | 53.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Julia Avdeeva | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Yue Yuan | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 370 | 65.1%241 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Yue Yuan | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yue Yuan | 68c | 26.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…02f0backed Yue Yuan | 70c | 21.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yue Yuan | 71c | 18.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yue Yuan | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yue Yuan | 67c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yue Yuan | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 443 | 63.4%281 W · 162 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Yue Yuan vs Julia Avdeevathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Yuan vs AvdeevaYuan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.