Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33faf174c6bd8de43200aee7ecdf01cdc6afbb8e3c403465b38687c8295aade8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb751…8d99backed No | 69c | 9,307$6,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Yes | 22c | 4,614$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 2,895$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 2,674$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.76 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 1,466$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.13 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 31c | 1,078$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.67 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 1,077$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 31c | 887.06$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 23c | 339.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 31c | 290$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 69c | 274.03$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 28c | 240$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 31c | 212.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 76c | 174.8$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 31c | 169.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 31c | 163.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 24c | 122.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…f521backed Yes | 44c | 112.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 18c | 109.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed No | 62c | 80.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 18c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 69c | 72.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 74c | 71.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Yes | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 27c | 70.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…f515backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 31c | 62.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 34c | 58.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f35…2e09backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Yes | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yes | 30c | 35.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 78c | 34.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 74c | 33.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…07ccbacked No | 72c | 28.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 67c | 18.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 18.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Marítimo win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.