Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Marítimo win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3786fd6cfdbbd74bc9264e0432611f7d5f3c0f90e80858ccf38e9b6b20cf122c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 47c | 16,971$8,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,928.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 7,276$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.67 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 37c | 6,232$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.6 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 44c | 3,595$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.63 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 2,915$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.88 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed No | 58c | 2,100$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 44c | 1,148$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.43 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 37c | 526.32$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 38c | 526.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.31 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 523.02$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 57c | 499.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.77 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 452.15$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 52c | 445.28$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.29 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 55c | 315.63$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 39c | 296.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 19c | 283.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 49c | 282.29$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 38c | 260.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 38c | 253.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 245$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.85 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 176.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 10c | 124.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 62c | 118.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 110.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 53c | 103.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 44c | 91.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…f440backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 57c | 84.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 61c | 82.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 61c | 78.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 70.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6515…b867backed Yes | 49c | 68.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed No | 62c | 66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 52c | 64.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 57c | 59.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 57c | 55.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed No | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 57c | 52.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 52.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…1db7backed No | 61c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27f…13afbacked Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 43c | 46.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…2ca2backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 38c | 44.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 54c | 44.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…564cbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 60c | 32.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…b878backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 39c | 28.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 55c | 27.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…f4adbacked No | 52c | 27.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 37c | 27.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed No | 47c | 26.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked No | 51c | 26.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Marítimo win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will CS Marítimo vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?No won
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.