Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Kei Nishikori vs Michael Antonius
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ae6446bc3fe24fa1becba819568f9409f2af09b4bf0e65ec24d41dffb9c4af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kei Nishikoriof Kei Nishikori, Michael Antonius
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Michael Antonius | 22c | 20,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 392 | 49.7%195 W · 197 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…429abacked Michael Antonius | 12c | 17,400$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Kei Nishikori | 60c | 15,870$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,369.98 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Michael Antonius | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Kei Nishikori | 58c | 11,182$6,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696.62 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Kei Nishikori | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…82d6backed Michael Antonius | 17c | 8,959$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…5345backed Michael Antonius | 42c | 5,700$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.1 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…21babacked Michael Antonius | 12c | 4,720$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.69 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Michael Antonius | 14c | 4,691$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.15 | 258 | 43.8%113 W · 145 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Michael Antonius | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…162abacked Michael Antonius | 19c | 3,737$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd422…7e43backed Kei Nishikori | 61c | 3,296$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.51 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Michael Antonius | 42c | 2,920$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.5 | 258 | 52.7%136 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Michael Antonius | 12c | 2,596$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.52 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Kei Nishikori | 61c | 2,581$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.45 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Michael Antonius | 39c | 2,535$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.87 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Michael Antonius | 39c | 2,436$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Michael Antonius | 8c | 2,326$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Michael Antonius | 37c | 2,242$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.66 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Kei Nishikori | 62c | 2,132$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.27 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…0dd9backed Michael Antonius | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…ce22backed Kei Nishikori | 58c | 1,753$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.46 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Michael Antonius | 15c | 1,700$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Antonius | 22c | 1,677$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.51 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Michael Antonius | 8c | 1,534$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Michael Antonius | 40c | 1,500$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.63 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Kei Nishikori | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 307 | 47.9%147 W · 160 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Kei Nishikori | 60c | 1,377$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.63 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Kei Nishikori | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Michael Antonius | 40c | 1,075$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 282 | 62.4%176 W · 106 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Michael Antonius | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 492 | 50.6%249 W · 243 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Kei Nishikori | 56c | 847.79$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.03 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Michael Antonius | 39c | 833.98$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.41 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Kei Nishikori | 57c | 787.55$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.65 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Michael Antonius | 41c | 786.01$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.26 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Kei Nishikori | 75c | 742.8$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.7 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Michael Antonius | 29c | 718.52$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.65 | 239 | 69.9%167 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Michael Antonius | 39c | 699.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…2200backed Kei Nishikori | 74c | 572.88$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kei Nishikori | 60c | 557$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Michael Antonius | 14c | 527.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michael Antonius | 19c | 504.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Kei Nishikori | 60c | 495.78$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.27 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Michael Antonius | 15c | 489.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Michael Antonius | 39c | 478.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Michael Antonius | 41c | 453.05$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.75 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Michael Antonius | 8c | 374.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Michael Antonius | 33c | 374.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Michael Antonius | 40c | 331$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 364 | 34.3%125 W · 239 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Michael Antonius | 16c | 330.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Michael Antonius | 17c | 320.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -20.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Kei Nishikori | 61c | 312.25$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Michael Antonius | 39c | 304.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Michael Antonius | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Michael Antonius | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…e51dbacked Kei Nishikori | 58c | 286.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…7800backed Michael Antonius | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Kei Nishikori | 53c | 279$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Michael Antonius | 6c | 266.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Michael Antonius | 40c | 243.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Michael Antonius | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Michael Antonius | 41c | 219.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 652 | 50.3%328 W · 324 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Michael Antonius | 14c | 218$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Kei Nishikori | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Michael Antonius | 42c | 199.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…3f56backed Michael Antonius | 19c | 195$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Michael Antonius | 28c | 170.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…78ebbacked Kei Nishikori | 60c | 167.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Michael Antonius | 15c | 161.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked Michael Antonius | 12c | 161$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…918bbacked Kei Nishikori | 59c | 160.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Michael Antonius | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 390 | 52.1%203 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Michael Antonius | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Michael Antonius | 25c | 132.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Michael Antonius | 40c | 129$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Kei Nishikori | 58c | 128.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Kei Nishikori | 58c | 124.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Michael Antonius | 41c | 123.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Michael Antonius | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…c4f4backed Michael Antonius | 20c | 120.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x136b…c35abacked Michael Antonius | 11c | 115.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Michael Antonius | 16c | 114.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Michael Antonius | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Michael Antonius | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…79d2backed Michael Antonius | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…3cabbacked Michael Antonius | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 30.8%81 W · 182 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Kei Nishikori | 58c | 98.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Michael Antonius | 43c | 95.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Michael Antonius | 19c | 90.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Michael Antonius | 15c | 89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 389 | 51.2%199 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…3fa6backed Michael Antonius | 40c | 87.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Michael Antonius | 43c | 76.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Michael Antonius | 39c | 74.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Kei Nishikori | 59c | 73.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Michael Antonius | 43c | 65.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 457 | 52.7%241 W · 216 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Michael Antonius | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…edc9backed Michael Antonius | 40c | 53.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Kei Nishikori | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 406 | 63.8%259 W · 147 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…99b0backed Michael Antonius | 40c | 52.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Kei Nishikori vs Michael Antoniusthis page
- Nishikori vs. Antonius: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Nishikori (-1.5) vs Antonius (+1.5)Nishikori won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.