TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf2e2…e51d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Croatia Open: Titouan Droguet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Croatia Open: Marco Cecchinato vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Swedish Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Pozoblanco: Pablo Perez vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Pablo Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Pozoblanco: Yanki Erel vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Yanki Erel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$259.16
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$112.24
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$112.5
Braunschweig: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Max Schoenhausbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublikbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Libema Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Elise Mertensbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.77
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3727%10 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.43
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.7
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$195.79
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$116.47
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$1,020
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$106.36
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$539.93
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$351.23
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$162.55
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$135.74
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.55
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 0 Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.32
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$286.94
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.52
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$583.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.56
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$204.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Racing Club vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$300.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+411.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+411.5%+$1,093.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.