Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0599a4f3b64090250f1e9b402c0d62efefa70dafd8a0f8a2a6ca84cfefdbb16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $637,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $639,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 118,638$9,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,566.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 8c | 42,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.5 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 8c | 9,055$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.44 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 5c | 8,999$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.97 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 9c | 8,252$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.5 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 8c | 7,532$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.56 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 5,838$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.24 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 8c | 5,625$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 7c | 5,555$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 8c | 5,374$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.92 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 8c | 3,975$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…995cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,482$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.58 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe927…a965backed Yes | 8c | 3,371$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 7c | 3,335$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.42 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 2,978$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.49 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae61…dab3backed Yes | 10c | 2,733$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,715$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.62 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 10c | 2,623$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 2,620$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.51 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 11c | 2,513$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.7 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 8c | 2,513$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eef…dc37backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…5b75backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 8c | 2,119$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,999$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 8c | 1,896$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…084ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 8c | 1,711$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 1,625$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,625$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cf…bdb4backed Yes | 7c | 1,621$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 7c | 1,503$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…5730backed No | 47c | 1,469$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.82 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…1911backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 42c | 1,424$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.92 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 1,333$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.21 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 8c | 1,298$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…bc18backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3347…c9c2backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…5a3abacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 11.8%15 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Yes | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9da7backed Yes | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 11c | 1,088$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…e419backed Yes | 10c | 1,004$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…8c21backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 12c | 966.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…4a1abacked Yes | 8c | 914$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 2c | 897.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 7c | 857.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Yes | 8c | 840$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…8fa3backed Yes | 9c | 832.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 10c | 800$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 13c | 775.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 10c | 755.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 16c | 749.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 8c | 742.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 16c | 735.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…ca37backed Yes | 8c | 718.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…5ca4backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…d232backed Yes | 12c | 687.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Yes | 15c | 680.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…1ae0backed Yes | 8c | 668.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 8c | 662.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…a0b9backed Yes | 15c | 646.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6599…530dbacked Yes | 8c | 630$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…59b7backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…3282backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 20%27 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.