TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$637,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$639,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c118,638$9,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,566.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes8c42,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36056410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes8c10,000$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.538817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes8c9,055$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.442,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes5c8,999$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9752522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes9c8,252$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.519038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes8c7,532$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.561,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c5,838$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.244,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes8c5,625$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45015337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes7c5,555$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.8512325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes8c5,374$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9263035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9613811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes8c4,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes8c3,975$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31828425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a6…995cbacked Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004734%16 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes8c3,482$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5822813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe927…a965backed Yes8c3,371$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7330%0 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes7c3,335$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4227520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes7c2,978$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4978317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae61…dab3backed Yes10c2,733$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.041145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes8c2,715$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes10c2,623$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes7c2,620$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.514,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0381backed Yes11c2,513$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.710819.4%21 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes8c2,513$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20129018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eef…dc37backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe2…5b75backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200429.5%4 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes8c2,400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1929111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes8c2,119$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.497412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes7c1,999$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9327811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes8c1,896$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.682,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd7…084ebacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150230%0 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes8c1,711$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.935514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes8c1,625$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes8c1,625$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37cf…bdb4backed Yes7c1,621$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes7c1,503$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2125510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed No47c1,469$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.828041.3%33 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09b2…1911backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No42c1,424$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.9213552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No79c1,333$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.212,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes8c1,298$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1334231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes7c1,250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.56129.5%18 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008231.7%26 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3347…c9c2backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012313.8%17 W · 106 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5829…5a3abacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes5c1,125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1057…9da7backed Yes8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886717.9%12 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes11c1,088$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6511632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…e419backed Yes10c1,004$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bcb…8c21backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes12c966.11$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4392732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef25…4a1abacked Yes8c914$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.19933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes2c897.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.991137.1%8 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes7c857.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Yes8c840$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.219531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…8fa3backed Yes9c832.52$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes10c800$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7617845.5%81 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes13c775.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes10c755.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.192,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes16c749.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11715226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes8c742.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.410815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes16c735.57$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.012187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2c…ca37backed Yes8c718.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab0…5ca4backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012645.2%57 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5718…d232backed Yes12c687.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016013.8%22 W · 138 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Yes15c680.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f4a…1ae0backed Yes8c668.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.064020%8 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-66.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes8c662.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71bf…a0b9backed Yes15c646.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6599…530dbacked Yes8c630$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42958.6%17 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc948…59b7backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503920.5%8 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018037.2%67 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0b…3282backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013520%27 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.