Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dfc265c7b578a43e0370109aae0e127ef4e597cad63600d6f721b60c2c09ec7

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $398,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $441,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,694 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	1c	168,675$1,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,151.05	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes	3c	42,533$1,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,361.05	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d7e…2519backed Yes	6c	5,893$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	4c	5,611$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes	14c	4,463$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.22	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Yes	14c	3,571$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	282	29.4%83 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes	3c	3,500$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.5	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffd…d98bbacked Yes	3c	3,219$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	13c	2,908$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.17	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes	6c	2,679$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	274	33.9%93 W · 181 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Yes	4c	2,499$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.95	144	30.6%44 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	3c	2,059$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Yes	16c	1,882$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	14c	1,827$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.66	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Yes	13c	1,803$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.02	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9d…2ac1backed Yes	3c	1,697$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.48	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	3c	1,471$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes	3c	1,061$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes	3c	1,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	8c	999.73$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.16	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes	3c	909.09$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	137	21.9%30 W · 107 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes	3c	878.79$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7588…df60backed Yes	4c	819.17$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.49	107	11.2%12 W · 95 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…baf0backed Yes	3c	800$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes	4c	769.23$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	356	12.6%45 W · 311 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Yes	14c	696.17$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.68	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	3c	666.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes	3c	666.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc435…2494backed Yes	15c	650.07$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.21	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+33%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Yes	14c	632.23$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.88	119	34.5%41 W · 78 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes	14c	623.15$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.16	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a8…a003backed Yes	3c	601.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	71	18.3%13 W · 58 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes	3c	588.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	168	25.6%43 W · 125 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes	3c	500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	356	21.9%78 W · 278 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Yes	5c	495$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	228	35.5%81 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…bf74backed Yes	3c	469.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	118	23.7%28 W · 90 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f9…da22backed Yes	15c	466.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes	3c	450$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	205	11.7%24 W · 181 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes	3c	441.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Yes	3c	439.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	293	41%120 W · 173 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	3c	430$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0a…aee2backed Yes	4c	405.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-37%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	3c	404$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.77	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…64fbbacked Yes	5c	341.8$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	76	11.8%9 W · 67 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes	15c	335.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	321	45.5%146 W · 175 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3944…6470backed Yes	3c	323.53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…e203backed Yes	3c	312.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	100	44%44 W · 56 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a38…3378backed Yes	3c	312.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	121	43%52 W · 69 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…0703backed Yes	3c	306.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Yes	15c	299.76$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.36	465	46.7%217 W · 248 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes	13c	179.79$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.27	508	33.3%169 W · 339 L	-35.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes	15c	168.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2918…0b9ebacked Yes	8c	157.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ad…1b0bbacked Yes	17c	148.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc228…7539backed Yes	14c	146.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5f…6128backed Yes	14c	143.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	7.9%5 W · 58 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes	14c	142.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1547…a2f5backed Yes	15c	129.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed Yes	15c	127.27$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.23	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked Yes	13c	126.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.97	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes	14c	114.9$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed Yes	17c	114.24$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f81…707ebacked Yes	15c	103.23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.15per pick	23cpaid	+66%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b8f…3b86backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	+40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41fc…a467backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…8f40backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes	15c	99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.65	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f6d…8ea2backed Yes	15c	97.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes	15c	96.77$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2de…9ce4backed Yes	15c	93.75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.97	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e65…cfb7backed Yes	15c	80$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	85	40%34 W · 51 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked Yes	15c	79.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.91	209	42.6%89 W · 120 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f7…5581backed Yes	18c	69.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ea7…c542backed Yes	16c	64.52$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No	80c	31.7$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.34	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event