Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fd68f8e22a51f69104ad375442ea68fcc524ed52e03c3c923eb9f7ac37cdc77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $584,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $570,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 120,183$12,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,855.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 114,947$84,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,264.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…fd56backed Yes | 23c | 31,681$7,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,269.76 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…30a7backed Yes | 0c | 25,217$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…47cdbacked Yes | 35c | 25,000$8,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,650 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 22,603$17,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.47 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 21,491$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.01 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…5ca0backed Yes | 0c | 20,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.99 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 22c | 17,199$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,758.74 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 11c | 15,700$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 10,793$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.12 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…82f9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 16c | 6,741$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.98 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 77c | 6,666$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.15 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,916$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.66 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 5,547$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.2 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 11c | 5,336$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 80c | 5,237$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.52 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae61…dab3backed Yes | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a1…aea4backed Yes | 1c | 4,225$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…23e2backed Yes | 38c | 4,097$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 3,952$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.14 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 3,275$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.7 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 11c | 2,909$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 22c | 2,568$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 2,565$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.51 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 11c | 2,450$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.51 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked No | 66c | 2,256$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.44 | 187 | 65.2%122 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cf…bdb4backed Yes | 14c | 2,233$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.62 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 29c | 2,045$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.54 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,035$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 11c | 1,983$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,900$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 10c | 1,866$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 11c | 1,754$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 27c | 1,733$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.35 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,691$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 10c | 1,625$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 29c | 1,511$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.9 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,496$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,495$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.07 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 29c | 1,393$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.9 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,306$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.17 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…0967backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,299$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.89 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,266$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.92 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b6bcbacked Yes | 34c | 1,257$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,170$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.2 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,102$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,100$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 11c | 1,091$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 8c | 1,069$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…afc9backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b1…d4bdbacked Yes | 10c | 963.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…1911backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcd…a2b5backed Yes | 11c | 884.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes | 11c | 854.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 137 | 21.9%30 W · 107 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Yes | 23c | 842$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.66 | 197 | 37.6%74 W · 123 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 68c | 809.76$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.17 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 22c | 799.95$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 36c | 797.39$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.88 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes | 11c | 780$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 36c | 776.5$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.54 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 24c | 761.36$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.73 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 35c | 716.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Yes | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 11c | 697$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 337 | 29.1%98 W · 239 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 11c | 695.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…2a35backed Yes | 11c | 631$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 17c | 613.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…fccabacked Yes | 24c | 613.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 4c | 609$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…a872backed Yes | 33c | 568.22$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.51 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…a9c8backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 17c | 510.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079b…c1a5backed Yes | 11c | 509.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961f…ab51backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8e…ca88backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…c657backed Yes | 23c | 499.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c97…cd5abacked Yes | 11c | 460$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…c441backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.