TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$584,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$570,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c120,183$12,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,855.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c114,947$84,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,264.94,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca5…fd56backed Yes23c31,681$7,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,269.762222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b6…30a7backed Yes0c25,217$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754211.9%5 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa701…47cdbacked Yes35c25,000$8,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6501936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No76c22,603$17,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,319.474,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes11c21,491$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.0156410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9a…5ca0backed Yes0c20,500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes34c20,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.993818.4%7 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes22c17,199$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,758.744,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes11c15,700$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72738817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes22c10,793$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.122,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d4…82f9backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103616.7%6 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+91.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes16c6,741$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.9817733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No77c6,666$5,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.158660.5%52 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes10c5,916$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.662,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c5,547$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.26729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes11c5,336$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No80c5,237$4,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.521,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae61…dab3backed Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09a1…aea4backed Yes1c4,225$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x114d…23e2backed Yes38c4,097$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.871546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes8c4,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No79c3,952$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.142,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c3,275$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes11c2,909$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32028425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes22c2,568$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57625124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No78c2,565$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.511,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes11c2,450$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5178317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked No66c2,256$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.4418765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37cf…bdb4backed Yes14c2,233$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.62128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes29c2,045$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.5473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes1c2,035$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2345424.7%112 W · 342 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes11c1,983$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.131567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes10c1,900$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes10c1,866$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes11c1,754$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.91826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes27c1,733$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.351,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes11c1,691$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18612634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes10c1,625$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4711616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes29c1,511$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.91,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes11c1,496$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5663035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes27c1,495$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.0765036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes29c1,393$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes26c1,306$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.171,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d5…0967backed Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes23c1,299$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.892,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes23c1,266$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9216019.4%31 W · 129 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9022…b6bcbacked Yes34c1,257$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.361323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes28c1,170$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.21,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes12c1,102$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Yes22c1,100$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9911031.8%35 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes11c1,091$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes8c1,069$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.561,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f70…afc9backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes11c1,000$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10935110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105550.9%28 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0b1…d4bdbacked Yes10c963.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b2…1911backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013445.5%61 W · 73 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bcd…a2b5backed Yes11c884.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3110322.3%23 W · 80 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes11c854.55$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9413721.9%30 W · 107 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Yes23c842$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6619737.6%74 W · 123 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No68c809.76$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1750833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes22c799.95$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9917845.5%81 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes36c797.39$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.8815317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes11c780$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.88714.9%13 W · 74 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes36c776.5$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5434247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes24c761.36$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7317329.5%51 W · 122 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes11c727.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Yes35c716.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Yes11c700$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7719531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes11c697$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6733729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes11c695.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5619125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a1…2a35backed Yes11c631$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.412623.1%6 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+60.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes17c613.68$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9592732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf15…fccabacked Yes24c613.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011038.2%42 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes4c609$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2746230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010542.9%45 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x597b…a872backed Yes33c568.22$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.517139.4%28 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x531c…a9c8backed Yes11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602520%5 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes17c510.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7956022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079b…c1a5backed Yes11c509.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961f…ab51backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+103.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b8e…ca88backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0890…c657backed Yes23c499.94$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.997532%24 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c97…cd5abacked Yes11c460$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.66229%18 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b73…c441backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.