TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$316,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,280 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c63,304$6,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,741.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes11c38,881$4,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,276.9156410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes12c8,097$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b8…9915backed Yes11c6,364$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-84.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes10c5,292$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.182,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…e419backed Yes11c5,255$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.573417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes11c5,059$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.4735514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes10c4,902$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes11c4,713$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes11c3,636$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes11c3,631$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes11c3,318$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36525124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes11c3,095$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32828425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes11c2,320$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.167835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes10c2,208$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.792,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes10c2,200$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20937451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes9c2,182$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Yes2c1,958$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.15523.8%2 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes10c1,750$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes11c1,611$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.859111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes11c1,428$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.786532.3%21 W · 44 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes11c1,400$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes11c1,295$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7736627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes12c1,252$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Yes11c1,233$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.63447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes10c1,124$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.42,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a6…3463backed Yes11c1,028$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.111723.1%27 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.829324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd9f…e6c6backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes11c918.18$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7726…71d2backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006810.3%7 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37cf…bdb4backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes11c881.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9731611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bcb…8c21backed Yes10c850$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb9…7ae9backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-65.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes11c791$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7134231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes11c700$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7721226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Yes11c700$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7724626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes11c569.09$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6126438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd1abacked Yes11c568.18$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.53710.8%4 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes5c556$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.850833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe3…ac98backed Yes11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017540.6%71 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016727.5%46 W · 121 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x693e…1e67backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-74.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…8d15backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552524%6 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1c3…72a8backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012544%55 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes10c499.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504725.5%12 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+60.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes11c455$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0535110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508727.6%24 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e28…2ef4backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508239%32 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c6…90bfbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504425%11 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7169…aaf5backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010526.7%28 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes11c431.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712124%29 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f35…ee57backed Yes11c428.18$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.160%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes10c377.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7722730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes10c370$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74b…4e15backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes11c359.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.549822.4%22 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes11c345.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9133510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca5…caa8backed Yes10c339.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346523.1%15 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea04…cee2backed Yes10c327.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7250%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4745…5d44backed Yes11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355046%23 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4765…ca11backed Yes11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511612.9%15 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019118.8%36 W · 155 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa689…2798backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes9c299.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2736423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079b…c1a5backed Yes11c290.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0196…d9f9backed Yes11c273.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307736.4%28 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012140.5%49 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4642…21d3backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010426.9%28 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019645.9%90 W · 106 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x877b…4f25backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305822.4%13 W · 45 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.