Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf24589cadd6dcf2a29e60fb4b005adbcd46cffdaaa491c9cdda74d529d1bbc39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 63,304$6,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,741.54 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 38,881$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.91 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Yes | 12c | 8,097$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…9915backed Yes | 11c | 6,364$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,292$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.18 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…e419backed Yes | 11c | 5,255$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.57 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 11c | 5,059$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.47 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 10c | 4,902$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 11c | 4,713$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 11c | 3,631$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 11c | 3,318$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 11c | 3,095$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 11c | 2,320$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.16 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,208$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Yes | 10c | 2,200$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 9c | 2,182$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Yes | 2c | 1,958$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 10c | 1,750$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,611$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,428$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 11c | 1,400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,295$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 12c | 1,252$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Yes | 11c | 1,233$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 10c | 1,124$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…3463backed Yes | 11c | 1,028$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…e6c6backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 11c | 918.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cf…bdb4backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 11c | 881.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…8c21backed Yes | 10c | 850$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb9…7ae9backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 11c | 791$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 11c | 569.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd1abacked Yes | 11c | 568.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 5c | 556$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…ac98backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 27.5%46 W · 121 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693e…1e67backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…8d15backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…72a8backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes | 10c | 499.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 11c | 455$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ef…89cabacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…90bfbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…aaf5backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 26.7%28 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes | 11c | 431.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…ee57backed Yes | 11c | 428.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes | 10c | 377.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 10c | 370$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 11c | 359.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 11c | 345.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…caa8backed Yes | 10c | 339.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea04…cee2backed Yes | 10c | 327.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5d44backed Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…ca11backed Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…2798backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079b…c1a5backed Yes | 11c | 290.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…d9f9backed Yes | 11c | 273.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7c…a9b9backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4f25backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.