Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69ad0f0c310803d200135e4a23b50a72d230d159f89d95fad8ae45a96731874f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 13c | 38,462$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 37,604$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 13c | 7,998$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.8 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 11c | 7,754$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.35 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 13c | 6,923$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Yes | 23c | 5,996$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.08 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 12c | 5,706$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.67 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 18c | 5,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 15c | 2,749$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes | 12c | 1,860$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,769$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 12c | 1,542$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,254$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 13c | 1,237$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…a872backed Yes | 13c | 1,059$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,018$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…0ab3backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…e6c6backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…4bcabacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 12c | 719$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 2c | 714.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1a…89d0backed Yes | 16c | 660.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 11c | 657.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…0e1abacked Yes | 15c | 616.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6885backed Yes | 24c | 505.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Yes | 21c | 501.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…0d92backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…95edbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…ab45backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 13c | 482.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb094…ee2fbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 22c | 445.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e76…f0f2backed Yes | 23c | 442.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 12c | 430$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe925…78c2backed Yes | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…aee2backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…1756backed Yes | 13c | 385$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 11c | 312$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…c8aebacked Yes | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 18c | 271.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…7cb6backed Yes | 12c | 257.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…aea9backed Yes | 13c | 256.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 11c | 245.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa031…ba6bbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…df60backed Yes | 13c | 226.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 12c | 210.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…a7e6backed No | 79c | 209.03$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +25.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…fa95backed Yes | 13c | 193.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3046…498dbacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 19c | 189.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…8e40backed Yes | 13c | 184.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…5d7ebacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…bf74backed Yes | 12c | 167.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a61…0ef0backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…c527backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…3b0bbacked Yes | 12c | 158.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…0a6abacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479d…080fbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…63efbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 17.3%17 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38da…68d4backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…77ddbacked Yes | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 11c | 130.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…3e4abacked Yes | 12c | 128.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cd72backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…755bbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…f09fbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…4d66backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Yes | 23c | 120.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.