TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes13c38,462$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003818.4%7 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c37,604$3,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,518.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes13c7,998$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.817733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes11c7,754$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.3535514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes13c6,923$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Yes23c5,996$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.0829633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes12c5,706$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.6736247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes18c5,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes15c2,749$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes13c1,923$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes12c1,860$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.28714.9%13 W · 74 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes13c1,769$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes12c1,542$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18529018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes13c1,254$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes13c1,237$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7562633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x597b…a872backed Yes13c1,059$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.757139.4%28 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Yes17c1,018$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1324626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes11c999.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11032642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7881…0ab3backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006725.4%17 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd9f…e6c6backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa902…4bcabacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes12c719$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.282,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes2c714.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.15952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d1a…89d0backed Yes16c660.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes11c657.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.352,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1596…0e1abacked Yes15c616.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9211226.8%30 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes12c583.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Yes24c505.92$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.427844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Yes21c501.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1922835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11515226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275e…95edbacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602520%5 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06eb…ab45backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554922.4%11 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+83.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes13c482.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7636627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb094…ee2fbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes13c461.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017930.7%55 W · 124 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes22c445.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9818614.5%27 W · 159 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e76…f0f2backed Yes23c442.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes12c430$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.656410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe925…78c2backed Yes12c420$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.412236.9%45 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505550.9%28 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c0a…aee2backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…1756backed Yes13c385$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.054052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508727.6%24 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes11c312$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3246230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x900e…c8aebacked Yes13c310$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.32123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes13c300$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3846319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3628425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes18c271.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509144%40 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3317…7cb6backed Yes12c257.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fbb…aea9backed Yes13c256.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.373826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407532%24 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes11c245.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.492,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa031…ba6bbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30336.1%2 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7588…df60backed Yes13c226.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4910711.2%12 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes12c210.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2692732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed No79c209.03$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7817659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe444…fa95backed Yes13c193.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.148930.3%27 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3046…498dbacked Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253815.8%6 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511823.7%28 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529428.9%85 W · 209 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes19c189.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6850833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4680…8e40backed Yes13c184.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243537.1%13 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+53.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20449.1%4 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71c…5d7ebacked Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304418.2%8 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…bf74backed Yes12c167.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011823.7%28 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick23cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012020.8%25 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a61…0ef0backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010320.4%21 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…c527backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012133.1%40 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5284…3b0bbacked Yes12c158.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192763%17 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+43.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021243.9%93 W · 119 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bbb…0a6abacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479d…080fbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206832.4%22 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a8…63efbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209817.3%17 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick17cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38da…68d4backed Yes13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0801…77ddbacked Yes13c138.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184619.6%9 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes11c130.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3811616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8979…3e4abacked Yes12c128.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.47825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d70…cd72backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6c…755bbacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512733.9%43 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d69…f09fbacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157644.7%34 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159131.9%29 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460b…4d66backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153324.2%8 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-55.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes13c123.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1635621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes13c123.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625150.6%127 W · 124 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed Yes23c120.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6610843.5%47 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.