Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7557af44e2f18510370cc4d16be3366d70a067a64684a7a373006484d551a3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 1c | 40,231$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 9c | 33,333$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,333.33 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 9,214$6,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,794.11 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 72c | 8,999$6,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,459.64 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 43c | 5,212$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.94 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 16c | 4,676$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.93 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 22c | 4,301$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.65 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 9c | 3,920$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.2 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae61…dab3backed Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 55c | 2,937$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.29 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 27c | 2,910$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.05 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 40c | 2,531$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.37 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 58c | 1,786$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.49 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,778$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.78 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 9c | 1,756$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.56 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked No | 75c | 1,643$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.74 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…abbebacked Yes | 9c | 1,556$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.56 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a2cebacked Yes | 35c | 1,434$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.29 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,424$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.43 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 53c | 1,377$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.93 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,365$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.08 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…8041backed Yes | 51c | 1,208$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.55 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 29c | 1,193$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.59 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 49c | 1,170$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.85 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,146$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.83 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.14 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 10c | 999.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.4 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…dc69backed Yes | 51c | 800.32$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.16 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 28c | 800$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…e985backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 706.96$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.97 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 43c | 694.01$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.95 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1f87backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 49c | 641.91$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.33 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Yes | 9c | 622.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.22 | 148 | 18.9%28 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 33c | 610.53$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.2 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 28c | 603.71$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.51 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…a9f9backed No | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…2dcabacked No | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 72c | 552$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.44 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ad…6254backed Yes | 9c | 550$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.5 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 55c | 549.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 13c | 543.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.87 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…95f3backed Yes | 26c | 506.84$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…270bbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…ab45backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Yes | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 9c | 491$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.81 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…f0ffbacked Yes | 31c | 490.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 28c | 478.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.65 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 50c | 452.69$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 9c | 422.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.22 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…c657backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 9c | 366.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.67 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…eeecbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 354$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.46 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c97…cd5abacked Yes | 9c | 340$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…42b2backed Yes | 36c | 331.67$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 28c | 329.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.34 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…a9c8backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…5a3abacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 36c | 297.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 71c | 291.17$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.77 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…d232backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes | 36c | 282.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…238abacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 178 | 20.8%37 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 13c | 275$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.25 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 55c | 266.39$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.66 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…2338backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 71c | 246.25$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 65c | 233.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…0a6abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 192 | 19.8%38 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…596ebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…c7f9backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…734bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…2e6dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…d56fbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…e7dfbacked No | 14c | 216.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked No | 70c | 214.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 187 | 65.2%122 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…6f10backed Yes | 71c | 212.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…da22backed Yes | 28c | 210.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 54c | 209.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.